Being without a star player or two has been the theme all season for both the Pelicans and Clippers, but the loss of Paul George tonight is going to hurt. The Clippers saw an immediate improvement with his initial return, despite losing to the Wolves in the first play-in game. George entered the NBA’s health and safety protocols and will miss tonight’s game. Los Angeles may also be without Luke Kennard.
C.J. McCollum and Brandon Ingram have been dealing without Zion Williamson all season – much like the Clippers without Kawhi Leonard – and knocked off the Spurs in their first game. The Pelicans are not dealing with any other injuries heading into tonight’s game, as both Ingram and Jonas Valanciunas played hurt against the Spurs.
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NBA Player Props & Picks | Pelicans vs. Clippers
Best Pelicans vs. Clippers NBA Bets Today & Odds Shopping
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Clippers Moneyline: +100 (FanDuel)
The Clippers are used to this. Maybe not the immediate knee-jerk pulling of George from a game hours before tip, but they have played well enough to get here without him. The line moved from 4.5 to five points as soon as the news hit, but the Clippers are still even-money on the money line. The books will not take a ton of liability with this team because guys like Reggie Jackson and now Norman Powell have the ability to put up plenty of production in George’s absence. The Pelicans also are not that good. They have some quality players up top, but they are not deep enough to take advantage of a minor opening. If this were Ingram or McCollum out for New Orleans, it would be a significantly worse loss. It is not to downplay George, rather the ability of his teammates to play well without him. Let the public worry about George while cashing in on the Clippers.
Make sure to check OddsShopper throughout the day for the best value and return on any NBA betting pick today. It is also important to check as Awesemo’s projections update and shift any initial data earlier in the day.
Brandon Ingram Under 24.5 Points: -114 (FanDuel)
Ingram may not be 100 percent, may not be able to overcome a tougher defensive matchup with the Clippers or simply will be the third scoring option on his team tonight. All work in factoring in why Awesemo and OddsShopper are big on fading Ingram scoring much against the Clippers. Awesemo has Ingram projected for only 18.3 points and OddsShopper has an 81% chance of this hitting. The xROI on OddsShopper is huge at a 52% return.
Jonas Valanciunas Over 2.5 Assists: +114 (FanDuel)
Awesemo is projecting a slightly better night than the books with Valanciunas passing the ball, good enough for 3.2 assists in their free projection. OddsShopper likes this play with a 61% chance of going over, plus a 30% xROI on the prop. The Pelicans’ big man comes off a three-assist night against the Spurs in the first play-in game, so getting this at plus-money is a bonus.
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Reggie Jackson Over 4.5 Assists: -124 (FanDuel)
The Clippers will win this game without George and bettors should expect a big night from Jackson. He should bounce back in the scoring department and be able to create other opportunities for shooters and bigs. Awesemo projects 5.6 assists for Jackson and OddsShopper has a 66% chance of him going over the total. Despite the loss, Jackson still finished with five assists against the Timberwolves.
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