Joel Embiid is not suffering from a broken heart or bruised ego after failing to win the MVP; he is still dealing with a broken face and torn ligament in his right thumb. All of that, and the 76ers face elimination tonight at home against the Miami Heat. The home team has won every game so far, with Philadelphia getting Embiid back for Game 3 and a huge boost from James Harden. The duo will need more help tonight from Tyrese Maxey and Tobias Harris if they are to avoid being closed out at home. Matisse Thybulle is questionable heading into tonight’s game with a foot injury.
Miami hopes to ride the momentum of a 35-point blowout win in South Beach, fueled by the continued all-around impact made by Jimmy Butler. The Heat did not need much more outside of four 3-pointers from Max Strus and another solid defensive effort out of P.J. Tucker. Countering Embiid seemed rather easy for the Heat at home, with a combination of Bam Adebayo and Dewayne Dedmon slowing down Philadelphia’s big man. Both Strus and Tucker are listed on the injury report but are expected to play. Tyler Herro and Caleb Martin are listed as questionable. Kyle Lowry is out.
Make sure to keep checking OddsShopper, as the status of players can change by the minute. It has everything necessary for NBA betting today. Let’s get into some of the best NBA bets today and NBA player prop bets for the Heat vs. 76ers.
NBA Player Props & Picks | Heat vs. 76ers
Best Heat vs. 76ers NBA Bets Today & Odds Shopping
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First Quarter Spread
The easiest thing to target for Philadelphia is their first quarter effort against a team that embarrassed them on a national stage. Miami is most likely good enough to close out the series tonight, especially based on how close Game 4 was despite only Butler showing up to play. The 76ers starting five has enough matchup difficulties early in the game to jump ahead of the Heat, but mainly in the first quarter to the first half. This bet does not rely on Harden or Embiid in the fourth quarter of the sixth game in this series. Instead, it targets Philadelphia at its best, or at least with the most gas in its tank. Consistency and depth have been killing the Sixers, two things that are least likely to impact them in the first quarter.
Best Bet Today: 76ers -0.5 (-120 BetMGM)
Make sure to check OddsShopper throughout the day for the best value and return on any NBA betting pick today. It is also important to check as Awesemo’s projections update and shift any initial data earlier in the day.
Joel Embiid Over/Under 2.5 Assists:
The Heat have done wonders to frustrate Embiid, from beating him up to double-teaming him before the ball even gets to him. It has had a ripple effect on his numbers, not just scoring, in the three games he has played. OddsShopper expects that to continue tonight despite the scene shifting back to Philadelphia. Awesemo’s projection has Embiid finishing with two assists, combined with an OddsShopper 69% chance of hitting the under. There is also a 35% xROI from OddsShopper, which is one of their better bets across both NBA games.
While this bet has a strong 69% chance of hitting, there is an even better offer at BetMGM. The no-brainer offer returns $200 on any $10 bet if a team scores more than 22 points. That should clear for most teams in the first quarter. Click here to claim the free money offer from BetMGM.
If you believe that Embiid will ramp up his playmaking and this bet seems too risky, BetMGM is giving away FREE money! All you have to do is bet $10 to win $200 if either the Heat or the 76ers hit just one 3-pointer tonight.
Best Prop Bet Today: Joel Embiid UNDER 2.5 Assists (-105 BetMGM)
Victor Oladipo O/U 11.5 Points:
Role players are just better at home. They shoot better, play with a sense of comfort and are easier to predict as any series shifts locations. Victor Oladipo is a great example of getting ahead of that narrative tonight in Philadelphia. Awesemo is projecting the Heat guard to finish with 9.8 points against the Sixers. OddsShopper has a 62% chance of this prop going under, along with a 21% xROI on the bet. Oladipo is averaging just 11.5 points per game this series but has had clunkers of 5- and 6-point outings.
Best Prop Bet Today: Victor Oladipo UNDER 11.5 Points (-105 BetMGM)
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Jimmy Butler O/U 1.5 Made 3s
Despite the blowout and limited minutes in the fourth quarter, Butler still went over this total in Game 5. He has hit two from deep in as many games but stayed under this total in the first three games of this series, with two of those being hit wins. The Heat star can find other ways to impact this game tonight outside of raining down 3-pointers. Awesemo has Butler finishing with 0.8 makes, and OddsShopper sees an 80% chance of this prop staying under. The juice is a little high, but BetMGM is offering a 1.5 total as opposed to a 0.5 total elsewhere.
Best Prop Bet Today: Jimmy Butler UNDER 1.5 Made 3s (-175 BetMGM)
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