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BET THESE TOP 4 Heat vs. Celtics NBA Player Props & Betting Picks Today | 3/30/22

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Welcome to the main event, as the NBA will showcase a potential Eastern Conference Finals preview tonight in Boston. The Heat are still atop the conference but are fending off a hot Bucks team and a surging Celtics squad. Boston returns a couple of players who sat out Monday’s game on the second leg of a back-to-back, including Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown. Both were held out to rest as the Celtics hit their final stretch of the regular season. They get Al Horford back too, as Boston tries to bounce back from just their second loss in their last 10 games. Boston was off last night but still moved a half-game ahead of the Sixers atop the Atlantic Division, following Philadelphia’s loss to Milwaukee.

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The Heat snapped a four-game skid on Monday by dominating the Kings with a 23-point victory. Miami saw both Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo lead the way with strong performances, both from the outside and on the glass. While the Heat lead the Celtics by just a game atop the conference, Miami may be short-handed tonight. Gabe Vincent, Duncan Robinson and Caleb Vincent are all questionable heading into the game, which would significantly impact the Heat’s depth. This game features two of the top four teams in the NBA in defensive scoring average. The Celtics are the top team and the Heat are fourth on the list.

Make sure to keep checking OddsShopper, as the status of players can change by the minute. It has everything necessary for NBA betting today. Let’s get into some of the best NBA bets today and NBA player prop bets for the Heat vs. Celtics

NBA Player Props & Picks Today | Heat vs. Celtics

Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics

Date: Wednesday, March 30, 2022
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Venue:
TD Garden — Boston, Mass.
Coverage: ESPN

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Under 109.5 First-Half Total: -109 (FanDuel)

Making a boxing analogy about this game being some heavyweight fight may put out the wrong connotation. This will not be two champion boxers trading haymakers, rather the equivalent of a lot of hugging and slowing down the pace. Both teams are at their best suffocating other offenses, and while their respective stars can fill up a stat sheet, the overall pacing of this game should start off slow. The defenses should have the early advantage to keep this game low-scoring mainly because of their abilities to limit big runs. The total for the game is on OddsShopper at 213.5, but there is a more favorable number at 109.5 in the first half. Doubling that total will get to 219, which is nearly two full possessions higher than the current total of 213.5. This is why OddsShopper is vital in finding even a point difference in first half or first quarter totals. The last thing to consider is neither of these teams is top-10 in scoring average, with the Celtics sitting at 13 and the Heat at 17.

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Jayson Tatum Over 7.5 Rebounds: +112 (FanDuel)

The value in tonight’s game will be found outside of the scoring department, as OddsShopper loves targeting Tatum’s rebounds. Awesemo’s free projection has Tatum finishing with 8.0 rebounds backed by a 54% chance of hitting. The plus-money return certainly helps, but this also plays on the matchup being slightly more favorable to Tatum on the glass. He has gone five straight games without topping 7 rebounds, but had a three-game streak of overs before the skid. OddsShopper likes Tatum to break out of that mini-slump tonight.

Al Horford Under 8.5 Rebounds: -150 (DraftKings)

This will correlate with the Tatum prop above, as someone up front should have their rebound total suffer, even if it is by one or two boards. Horford is projected to finish with 7.4 rebounds, which is more than a full rebound lower than the total. OddsShopper has a decent 12% xROI on the play factoring in the -150 at the book but backs it with a 67% chance of hitting this prop. Horford has gone over this 8.5 total just three times in his last 10 games and will be more of a target on the glass for the Heat.


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Bam Adebayo Over 0.5 Blocks: -120 (DraftKings)

What appears as a steep price to pay for just one block becomes much stronger of a play after following the data. OddsShopper sees a 60% chance of Adebayo having at least one block tonight, followed by Awesemo’s free projection of .9 blocks. The Heat center should have plenty of opportunities with his teammates funneling any slashers to the middle, plus Adebayo is dealing with a weakened and shorter frontcourt for the Celtics.

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