“Red hot” and “surging” are the terms most closely associated with the Knicks as they ride a three-game winning streak tonight in Memphis. The Grizzlies are doing just fine, still atop the Southwest division and winners of six of their last 10. The MVP talk has cooled off for Ja Morant but he is still leading the best against the spread team in the NBA. Memphis comes off a convincing win over the Pelicans, where they put up 77 points in the first half alone. Morant is getting some well-rounded help, be it upfront with Jaren Jackson Jr. or in the backcourt with Desmond Bane launching 3’s.
The Knicks have won three straight after most people wrote off their season. While this may simply be an anomaly for a team still 10 games below the .500 mark, the Knicks have certainly capitalized with all three wins coming on the road. Julius Randle and R.J. Barrett were key in New York’s most recent win, a blowout of the Mavericks in Dallas. Mitchell Robinson bounced back with a double-double and Alec Burks added a double-double. This will be a huge test for the Knicks as they play their sixth of seven straight games away from home.
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NBA Player Props & Picks Today | Knicks vs. Grizzlies
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Best Knicks vs. Grizzlies NBA Bets Today & Odds Shopping
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Knicks +5.5 First Half Spread: -110 (FanDuel)
The Knicks have earned their recent high praise, even if it is just over three games. They had a perfect opportunity to succumb to the pressure and hype surrounding just winning two straight but destroying the Mavericks. This is not a letdown spot for New York in Memphis, at least not in the first half. The Knicks may not have the talent or legs to outlast teams at the end of a long road trip, but they certainly have the adrenaline to come out firing. This feels more like a hockey zone where a bad team can crank out four or five straight wins just because it could not get much worse. There is also a great matchup here for both Randle and Barrett to exploit, which at the very least should help mitigate the damage done by Morant. The Knicks are playing with a ton of confidence and are not good enough to look ahead to the Nets. Be it pride, better shooting, taking advantage of rebounding matchups or teams just going through motions, the Knicks can sneak into Memphis and steal a half, but just the first half.
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R.J. Barrett Under 24.5 Points: -104 (FanDuel)
The Knicks are playing exceptionally well and Barrett is a part of that, but not the main catalyst, or at least not all the time. While the surface matchup should favor Barrett against the Grizzlies’ wings, there is some concern he will have an off-night shooting, combined with a more aggressive game plan from Memphis. OddsShopper sees it that way with a 63% chance of this prop hitting, combined with a 23% xROI on the prop. Awesemo’s free projection for Barrett has him finishing with just 22 points against the Grizzlies.
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Mitchell Robinson Under 8.5 Rebounds: -125 (DraftKings)
Robinson had a big game after disappearing the previous night, but do not expect that to continue against Memphis. Steven Adams will do his best to keep Robinson off the glass, and he will not have Nerlens Noel to help take off some pressure. He has failed to hit eight rebounds in five of his last 10 games and Awesemo has Robinson projected for 7.3 boards tonight. OddsShopper has a 69% chance of this prop staying under, and a 24% xROI on the play.
Ja Morant 3+ Made 3’s: +240 (FanDuel)
Morant should be the game-high scorer, as the Grizzlies have the biggest advantage with him on the floor. Nobody in the Knicks backcourt is able to do anything to slow down Morant, and unlike Luka Doncic, Morant will not disappear. Morant comes off a 2-4 night from 3, but that was in a big beating of the Pelicans where he did not need to shoot a ton. He averaged 4.5 attempts in February but is north of six in March. That is enough volume combined with the favorable matchup to get Morant 5.5 looks tonight from 3. He is shooting well enough where he could sneak in three makes off six attempts alone, but there should be an added bump with 3-point shots against the Knicks.
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