COVID is wreaking utter havoc throughout the NBA, forcing both of these teams to cancel their previous engagements. The Cavaliers’ outbreak caused the Hawks to postpone, and the Magic are dealing with an outbreak that forced a cancelation of their game in Toronto. For Atlanta, Trae Young, Clint Capela, Danilo Gallinari and Lou Williams are all in COVID-19 protocol. None are expected to play if they even can play this game. Now more than ever is the time to constantly keep checking OddsShopper for updated projections of player props, based on who may be out with COVID. These are rapid developments and OddsShopper, has you covered with a FREE combination of Awesemo’s projections with the best value on each play.
Best NBA Betting Picks & Props | Magic vs. Hawks
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Hawks -6.5 (-110 PointsBet)
The Hawks get Bogdan Bogdanovic back and have John Collins and Kevin Huerter, who are far better than what the Magic will put out. All is not lost with the Hawks despite losing Trae Young and their force down low in Clint Capela. The Magic are fielding tryouts from guys on the street, metaphorically and actually. If it is not COVID that is knocking guys out, it is just dealing with injury. Both Wendell Carter and Cole Anthony are questionable in this game due to lower leg/ankle injuries. It is hard to imagine the Magic keeping up with the Hawks, even if Orlando were 100% healthy. But dealing with COVID killing their depth and their starters all banged up, this is a healthy play on the Hawks. Make sure to check OddsShopper’s game sorting tool that is also free to use to get the best value from multiple books on sides, totals and more.
Bogdan Bogdanovic Over 14.5 Points (-105 FanDuel)
Bogdanovic should be in prime scoring mode as the No. 1 option on the Hawks tonight. The only concern would be minutes coming back from injury, especially with a blowout factor highly likely to happen. Nobody else is going to vulture shots from Bogdanovic, and he could easily go multiple possessions as the shooter. OddsShopper has this bet hitting the over at an expected win rate 67% and a 23% expected ROI. Awesemo projects Bogdanovic for nearly 1.5 points higher than the number. The Magic are just asking to be torched from outside.
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Gary Harris Under 13.5 Points (-125 DraftKings)
OddsShopper’s Player Prop sorting tool offers a good idea of why this is a solid play. Harris going under the number has an expected win rate of 64%, combined with a 19% expected ROI that is not killed by laying the -125 on the prop. Awesemo has Harris projected for just under 12 points. While Harris has been shooting the ball better as of late, coming off two straight games going over this number, the belief is that he simply cannot keep it up. As Harris may see an even more increased volume of shooting, the regression factor should kick in. The Hawks are no pushover defensively, even without a couple of key guys. The matchup and expected regression are big motivators in playing the under with Harris.
Kevin Huerter Over 14.5 Points (-110 DraftKings)
This plays out similarly to Bogdanovic’s points prop, so take advantage of a unique set of circumstances. Betting is all about opportunity. Huerter and Bogdanovic are now the two main scoring options from outside the key against a Magic team that is awful and decimated by COVID. OddsShopper has this with an expected win rate of 55% going over, but the circumstances will help push this one into the 60s, if not higher.
Kevin Huerter 20+ Points/ATL Moneyline (+440 FanDuel)
Huerter has hit 19 twice and 28 another time this month, all coming from an increase in volume. If Huerter takes more shots, then he scores more points. That simple equation does not always work for guys in the NBA, especially if it correlates to more minutes on the floor. The Magic are just awful, they do not score (27th), they do not defend (28th), and without much depth cannot defend the perimeter. Atlanta’s best bet tonight would be to ensure that Huerter gets double-digit looks from 3, which would put him right in the 20-point range. The Hawks winning this game should come with little doubt, so this is essentially bumping up Huerter’s points prop 5 points and gaining over 400 points of value.
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