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How to Bet Mavericks vs. Knicks Tonight: Best NBA Bets & Player Props 1/12/22




The Dallas Mavericks touch down in New York City riding a six-game winning streak and have become one of the hotter teams in the NBA. Luka Doncic and the Mavericks are not just beating up on bad teams, they have knocked off the Bulls and Warriors during this streak. Doncic did it all with a triple-double on Sunday as Dallas continues to be without Kristaps Porzingis due to COVID. The Knicks are coming off an impressive home win against the Spurs, led by R.J. Barrett and a combination of Evan Fournier and Alec Burks. A win tonight would put the Knicks back at .500 on the season, as they are also hoping for the return of both Kemba Walker and Nerlens Noel. Keep an eye on these games right up to tip as the COVID situation moves fast.

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Dallas Mavericks vs. New York Knicks

Date: Wednesday, Jan. 12, 2022
Time: 7:30 p.m. EST
Madison Square Garden — New York, N.Y.
Coverage: ESPN

Best Mavericks vs. Knicks NBA Bets Today & Odds Shopping

The easiest place to find the best bets in the NBA is on the one-stop shop for value and where to place a wager. The best part is the tool is free and easy to use. Simply filter, sort the page and find the best return available across all books.

Over 105.5 1st Half (-110, BetMGM)

The Knicks have won three of four, and the Mavericks are winners of six straight. Both teams come in rested, as New York last played Monday night and Dallas has been off since Sunday. The game total is one of the lowest on the board for a reason: Both teams tend to play down in their respective slots. The under is 11-9-1 for Dallas on the road and 12-9 for New York at home. OddsShopper shows a little higher of a first half total at 105.5 than the game itself at 205.5. Both teams should come out sharp in the first quarter, with Doncic testing the Knicks backcourt rotation and the Knicks stretching the floor with Barrett and Julius Randle. Most importantly, the pacing of this game will slow down, but only after the first half. Take advantage of games in the middle of the season featuring two rested teams, and jumping on the over first half is the best way to do it.

Luka Doncic Under 9.5 Assists (-115, FanDuel)

While Doncic comes off a double-digit-assist game against Chicago, things should slow down just a little in that category tonight. The Mavericks will need scoring early to put pressure on the Knicks and raise the tempo to make New York a little uncomfortable. This play is more about how many passing opportunities Doncic will have after he commits to scoring early in the game. OddsShopper sees a 68% chance of this prop going under, as Awesemo has Doncic projected for 8.5 assists. The expected ROI is 27%, but bettors only have to lay an extra 5 cents for a high number at 9.5, with some recency bias from last game. He has seen a recent bump in this category in three of his past four games, but not enough to shift what he has done on average — closer to 8.5 assists per game.

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Julius Randle Over 4.5 Assists (-108, FanDuel)

To avoid getting burned again by riding a points prop for Randle, OddsShopper loves this assists play for him tonight, with a 67% chance of hitting over and a 29% expected ROI. Awesemo has Randle projected for 5.6 assists, so even the decimal shades a little bit towards six assists. To push the return, one could play six-plus assists on FanDuel for a +176 return. Stay as far away from scoring props with Randle, but there is significantly less volatility with his assists. The game flow will dictate what kind of night it will be for Randle, and coming off a 2-point night, one would think he is more than OK passing the ball. Without Porzingis, Dallas may be more inclined to crash down on Randle with a double-team, which could open up passing lanes for shooters.

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Maxi Kleber Over 6.5 Rebounds (+112, FanDuel)

OddsShopper is the best place to find value with guys who are playing more minutes due to others being out with COVID or injury. This Maxi Kleber rebounding prop is a perfect example. There will be an increase of minutes for Kleber, and the easiest target would be him on the glass. Points are too dependent on getting him the ball and the Knicks defense, but he becomes Dallas’ main focal point on the boards. The matchup against New York presents a more difficult approach, as both Mitchell Robinson and (possibly) Nerlens Noel will be on Kleber. OddsShopper does not project a big night for Kleber, but it is enough to play this with confidence. Kleber is projected for 7.3 rebounds, and the bet has an expected ROI of 28%, as bettors get +112 on the return itself. The bet has a strong shot (60%) to clear the over against the Knicks.

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R.J. Barrett 3+ 3-Pointers (+215, FanDuel)

There is a major difference in playing Barrett’s over/under at 1.5 3’s with a -162 return, versus the +215 return on hitting just one more 3. Barrett is going to get looks; he is the Knicks’ best scoring option right now. He comes off three 3’s last game against the Spurs on four attempts, and before that he took nine shots and made four 3’s. There is an increase in looks and the team doing a better job to ensure Barrett will get that, as he should against Dallas. The Mavericks will try to slow down whatever rotation of guards the Knicks roll out, but to New York’s credit, they have pivoted away from Randle’s struggles and focused on Barrett. The number seems favorable compared to what it costs to just to go over 1.5 3’s.

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