Golden State has only one storyline carrying through this road trip: Stephen Curry breaking the 3-point record. It has taken its toll, as the Warriors escaped Indiana with a late comeback win, and now Curry enters just two 3’s shy of passing Ray Allen as the NBA’s all-time marksman. Nobody wants to be on the wrong side of history, but the Knicks stand little chance of snapping a 3-game skid. Let’s head to OddsShopper and take advantage of the best value in the Warriors vs. Knicks game utilizing the FREE Awesemo OddsShopper NBA betting tool.
Check out Adam Strangis’ best DraftKings same game NBA parlay picks for the Warriors vs. Knicks game, where he gives his favorite NBA player props and best bets for a solid ROI.
Best NBA Betting Picks & Player Props for Warriors vs. Knicks Tonight
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The easiest place to find the best bets in the NBA is on OddsShopper, the one-stop shop for value and where to place your wager. The best part is the tool is free and easy to use. Simply filter, sort the page and find the best return available across all books.
Under 212.5 (-110, BetMGM)
It is all about the record, and then the Warriors can collectively exhale. Curry may pass Allen in the first quarter; after that expect the team to slow down and do everything they can defensively to get out of Madison Square Garden with a win. There is great value on OddsShopper with this game gaining a half point on the total. Always make sure to shop the best return, as some books have it a full point less at 211.5 points. There are a couple of key elements that play into the under for this game with both teams factoring in, the first being the Warriors needed every second to come from behind and beat the Pacers last night. The Knicks are down a couple of guys in their rotation, including R.J. Barrett and Obi Toppin. They get Alec Burks back from injury, but they struggle to score — 22nd in the league in points per game. Do not overlook this narrative of the record either. The Warriors have looked off — especially Curry at times — during this stretch of seven or eight games. It will look like a major weight will be lifted from the whole team’s shoulders, and they will simply clamp down on the Knicks. Think of it like a heavy favorite on Thursday Night Football doing just enough to get out with a win and enjoy the long week ahead.
Stephen Curry Over 4.5 Rebounds (-161 BetMGM)
The first thing to notice is the high juice on this prop, mainly because the true value of his line should be at 5.5 rebounds. Awesemo has Curry projected for six rebounds and an expected win percentage of 72 hitting the over. The prop can be used here as part of a parlay — be it same-game or around the NBA — or one can push this to over 5.5 rebounds based on Awesemo’s projections and a better return of plus money. Curry has gone over 5.5 rebounds three times in six games this month, with a fourth game hitting five rebounds. The Knicks’ guard rotation is still in flux, and weaker backcourts have not been able to keep Curry off the boards. Thanks to OddsShopper, this is a great place to start or maneuver with value.
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Julius Randle Over 9.5 Rebounds (-112 BetRivers)
Using the sorting tool on OddsShopper’s NBA Player Props page, bettors are able to see the best plays with the highest ROI. Julius Randle going over his rebound prop has the highest available expected ROI at 20% and an expected win of 63%. One of the best features on OddsShopper is having Awesemo’s projections for each player along with the prop to see the difference between the prop and projection. Randle is at 10.7, so it makes sense to take advantage of a Warriors team that is playing its second game in as many nights. Draymond Green may see a lot of time on Randle, but the Warriors will not be as aggressive on the offensive boards. Golden State has struggled from the field recently, so missed shots should translate to more Randle rebounds.
Derrick Rose Under 17.5 Points (-115 FanDuel)
The Knicks are expecting Alec Burks to return to the lineup, which directly impacts the rotation, putting Derrick Rose back on the bench. The under looks great for this game, and there are not a ton of ways the Knicks are going to get to the basket. Rose may have an opportunity to take advantage of second-unit minutes, but there will not be enough minutes to get to 18 points. OddsShopper has this going under with an expected win 57% chance of hitting, but the return of Burks and a hit on Rose’s minutes should negatively impact his performance. Awesemo’s projection for Rose is 16.6 points, so there is some room with the half point covering the smaller chance he hits 17. Golden State is the best scoring defense in the NBA, and it is not because of just their starters. Even in second-unit action, Rose faces a tough road to 18 points.
Long Shot Play of the Night — Stephen Curry 8+ 3’s (+380 DraftKings)
There is always the chance that Curry destroys this record all in one night at the most famous arena on the planet. While it is true Curry has not looked great as of late from three, he is still knocking them down. This bet works on the belief that Curry will respond with an offensive onslaught taking advantage of a weaker Knicks defense. Nov. 21 is the last time Curry settled for single-digit attempts from 3, as he came off a 15-attempt night against the Pacers. Curry’s over/under for 3’s is 5.5, so getting to two more at nearly a 4-to-1 return is worth a play. Jordan Poole and Andrew Wiggins are not getting in the way of Curry taking shots, and Green will do everything he can to ensure Curry has himself a night. Continue to look at OddsShopper for the best available props, including Awesemo’s projections.
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