I’ve spotted some NBA odds I like for tonight, which includes Nikola Jokic player prop bets in his matchup against the Timberwolves. Below, I’ll outline the NBA betting picks I’ll be going after most.
Using the help of OddsShopper to locate the best plays and prices, let’s analyze some NBA plays.
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NBA Betting Picks & Predictions | Top NBA Odds
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets: Nikola Jokic OVER 9.5 assists (-139, DraftKings)
This one is pretty juiced up, and we don’t really have any new or unexpected injury news to give us an edge. That is rarely how I play props. But it speaks to how much I love this spot for Jokic’s assist prop. Jokic has been a magician as a passer from the center position, but as an early MVP candidate, he’s taken his game to another level this season as a playmaker. Jokic is averaging an insane 12.8 dimes per contest from the center spot, getting 10 or more in all six games this season.
That streak includes just last game in this very matchup against the Timberwolves, when he finished with 12 assists in 32 minutes. Denver has been running the offense more through Jokic this season, which has come at the expense of Jamal Murray. Murray, who closed as the favorite for Most Improved Player this season, has averaged a career-high 4.8 assists each of the last three seasons, but is down to 3.0 this year.
While Michael Porter Jr., who is out due to COVID protocols, is a good shot maker, he also takes some usage away from Jokic, so I’d consider that a wash. There is no reason Jokic shouldn’t be able to continue his dominance against a weak frontcourt that is still operating without Karl-Anthony Towns.
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