Same-game parlays are one of the most exciting new forms of betting on sports. Not only are the payouts potentially massive, but they can also be +EV. Since all of the wagers take place in the same contest, it allows you to craft a narrative that can pay off royally if it hits. Same-game parlays become even better with the help of OddsShopper. It allows you to view all of the different wagers available for each game compared to the Awesemo NBA Projections. The wider the gap between the line and the projection, the more +EV the wager. This allows you to find the best NBA betting picks easily. Let us dive into some of the best NBA picks and parlays tonight.
Best NBA Player Props & Picks Tonight: Spurs vs. Knicks
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Dejounte Murray Over 9.5 Assists and Over 7.5 Rebounds
The Spurs have had a forgettable start to their season, but Murray has turned into an outstanding player. He is on pace to post new career-highs in every category across the board, averaging 18.3 points, 9 assists, and 8.3 rebounds per game.
Murray recently missed five games due to a stint in health and safety protocols, but he has been gobbling up peripheral stats since returning to the lineup. He averaged 11 assists and 7.7 rebounds over his past three games, and he had at least 12 assists and nine boards in two of them. That includes his last contest, where he logged 39.5 minutes in a two-point loss to the Nets. The Spurs are still playing without a host of key players, including Derrick White, Keldon Johnson, and Devin Vassell, so Murray should be looking at another sizable workload against the Knicks. OddsShopper gives Murray an expected return on investment of at least +14% on both of these wagers.
Lonnie Walker IV Under 16.5 Points
Walker is another member of the Spurs who should benefit from their current absences. He saw a nice spike in playing time in their last contest and finished with a season-high 25 points. However, that performance seems like a major outlier. Walker has eclipsed 13 points in just 13 of his 35 games this season, and while the increased playing time should lead to more scoring, He is still a fade at this inflated number.
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Joshua Primo Over 2.5 Rebounds
The odds on this prop are not great – the best odds are -161 on Caesars Sportsbook – but Primo should be able to cruise past this number. This prop currently has an expected win rate of 78% on OddsShopper.
Primo managed just one rebound in his last game, but he played a whopping 39.4 minutes. Forty minutes of court time should allow one to luck their way into three rebounds. Primo has averaged 4.5 boards per 36 minutes this season, so he is an excellent bounce-back candidate on Monday.
This is more about fading the Knicks than it is about buying the Spurs. The Knicks have been a massive disappointment this season, ranking just 11th in the Eastern Conference standings. They clearly overperformed last year, but no one expected the drop-off to be this significant.
The Knicks have unsurprisingly disappointed against the spread as well. They are just 18-22, and while that is not disastrous, it is the 10th-worst mark in the league.
Meanwhile, the Spurs have posted a record of 22-17 against the spread, including a mark of 11-7 as a road underdog. They have the clear best player in this contest in Murray, and the Knicks have the potential to be without Kemba Walker, Evan Fournier, and Nerlens Noel. They should this game competitive and possibly even pull off the upset.
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