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🎲 Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: NBA Betting Odds, Picks & Prediction | Tonight 3/19




Josh Engleman brings you his NBA fantasy basketball show with strategy on how to build DraftKings & FanDuel NBA DFS lineups today, 11/29/2021.

After taking down the New Orleans Pelicans by an eight-point margin last night, the Portland Trail Blazers will host the Dallas Mavericks. Both of these squads are now 3-2 since the All-Star break, and they’ll look to build some momentum as the NBA moves further into the second half of the season. Here are the key trends and my predictions to help you find an edge on the NBA betting markets.

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Tonight’s NBA Betting Picks, Odds and Prediction | Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers

Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers Game Info

Dallas Mavericks (21-18) at Portland Trail Blazers (24-16)
Date: Friday, March 19, 2021
Start Time: 10 p.m. EST
Venue: Moda Center — Portland, Ore.
Coverage: NBATV

This game is a tale of two stars. Luka Doncic powered the Mavericks to a win over the Clippers on Wednesday, while Damian Lillard dropped 36-plus points in back-to-back games to lead the Trail Blazers in their sweep of the Pelicans. Sure, Kristaps Porzingis and C.J. McCollum will contribute their fair share of points. But, as this year has proven, these teams depend upon their superstar point guards to win games.

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Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers Spread Trends and Prediction: Mavericks -3.5

Portland enters this one as home underdogs. In its last five games in that scenario, and the Trail Blazers have gone an underwhelming 2-3 against the spread. In contrast, Dallas has gone 5-3 against the spread as away favorites — the second-best such record for teams who have played at least three games in that situation

Other trends point to value on the Mavs too, as they are 6-2 against the spread with the rest advantage. The Trail Blazers are 6-3 against the spread with a rest disadvantage and 4-4 against the spread when playing without rest. Perhaps, we could see the Blazers’ trends worsen starting tonight.

My NBA betting model favors Dallas by only a 1.3-point margin. I am willing to overlook that because of Portland’s recently hectic schedule and those notable struggles at home. The Blazers have gone just 8-12 against the spread at the Moda Center this season.

Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers Total Trends and Prediction: Under 227.5

The Dallas Mavericks have the NBA’s sixth-lowest over percentage (43.6%). While the Trail Blazers have the tenth-highest (55%), that falls to 44.4% when they’re playing with a rest disadvantage.

Dallas’ over percentage with a rest advantage is the most important trend to note when betting the total. That number crashes to just 12.5% in such situations, as they have stayed under in all but one of their eight games with more rest than their opponents.

Other factors point to value on the under too. Dallas plays at the NBA’s third-slowest pace. Surprisingly, Portland plays 11th slowest. Perhaps that’s why my NBA betting model, which uses pace and efficiency data to make a prediction for each game, projects these teams for only 212.1 points.

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Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers NBA Spread Picks + Odds Shopping

Isaiah Sirois uses Awesemo's OddsShopper tool to identify the best NBA betting picks and odds for tonight's game between the Mavericks and Trail Blazers.

If you agree with my lean and favor the Mavericks, you can find them as 3.5-point favorites across the market. FanDuel Sportsbook and PointsBet currently have the best juice (-105). Should you disagree, you can also find the Trail Blazers as 3.5-point underdogs at every book, but you’ll get the best deal at SugarHouse or DraftKings Sportsbook (-109). Make sure to double-check OddsShopper before placing your bet to confirm that you’re getting the best deal.

Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers NBA Total Picks + Odds Shopping

Isaiah Sirois uses Awesemo's OddsShopper tool to identify the best NBA betting picks and odds for tonight's game between the Mavericks and Trail Blazers.

I favor the under here. Should you agree, you can find the highest-set total with the best juice at PointsBet (-105). If you disagree and favor the over, FanDuel Sportsbook has the best deal on the lowest-set total (-110). These lines can move as tip-off approaches, and you can follow all movement directly through OddsShopper.

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