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Underdog NBA Parlay Picks Tonight: Best Longshot Bets & Player Props Tuesday 1/4/22




There are five games for the NBA tonight, which is a perfect opportunity to use Awesemo OddsShopper to build some of the best NBA parlay picks today. Using this fantastic site can help place smart wagers in an easy-to-use fashion and maximize the ROI on the wagers. It is truly betting made simple since you can find the best bet in 30 seconds or less.

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Longshot NBA Parlay Picks & Player Props Tonight

The first step is finding the brand new Parlay Builder for OddsShopper. It is located on the top banner and is just one click away. This tool is a game changer because the Awesemo data scientists have built the parlay already. The user has the choice of what type of parlay they prefer to chase, and the state is customizable along with the sportsbook. Though it is rare, underdogs eventually have their day, and when they do, the payouts are oh so nice. Here are our best bets for underdogs if you like to fade the favs and cheer for the upset at high odds. As a reminder, betting the props individually is always a smart way to build your bankroll. An underdog parlay is not exactly the most stable return if it is always being bet just as a parlay. Let’s find out what the best-projected bets are for Tuesday and build some NBA parlay picks.

De’Aaron Fox Under 4.5 Assists

The wager that is kicking off the three-leg parlay has the highest individual ROI and an expected win rate of 67% from OddsShopper. De’Aaron Fox and the Sacramento Kings are taking on the Los Angeles Lakers and this game has the highest total of the slate. That is not surprising since both teams reside in the top eight in pace so far and Sacramento is 26th in defensive rating. The Lakers are still without Anthony Davis so their defensive rating is in the bottom 10 without him. Fox is averaging just 5.1 assists so far this season and only has 10 potential assists per game. He is also second on the team in assist rate behind Tyrese Haliburton by about 5% so even in arguably the best game environment of the night, Fox is not a lock to hit five assists or higher.

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Scottie Barnes Over 7.5 Rebounds

It has been very difficult to gauge expectations for players returning from health and safety protocols in the past few weeks, which is what Scottie Barnes did last game. He logged 30 minutes in his first game which is almost six minutes under his normal run, so he should be able to play a couple more minutes this evening. The Toronto Raptors take on the San Antonio Spurs and they will need him on the glass since the Spurs are seventh in rebounding on the year. Barnes is averaging 13.6 rebounding chances per game, but he does have just a 59.6% conversion rate. While they do rank seventh overall, the Spurs are 25th in rebounds allowed in the paint and Barnes has an avenue to grab eight or more rebounds. OddsShopper has an expected win rate of 71% and that is the highest of the parlay.

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Jalen Smith Under 0.5 Assists

It appears that the Phoenix Suns will be without Deandre Ayton, JaVale McGee and Jae Crowder again tonight when they face the New Orleans Pelicans. That means that Jalen Smith will be asked to play more minutes than normal and in the last four games, he has played between 24 to 29 minutes in all four. He has a total of zero assists and in a 161-minute sample size without that trio on the court, Smith has a 1.9% assist rate. This wager has an expected win rate of 69% and the return for a three-leg parlay is excellent. The Awesemo Parlay Calculator shows a return of +847 and even as underdogs, there are plenty of metrics that support these wages tonight.

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