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Underdog NBA Parlay Picks Tonight: Best Longshot Bets & Player Props Tuesday 12/28

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There are only eight games for the NBA tonight, which is a perfect opportunity to use Awesemo OddsShopper to build some of the best NBA parlay picks today. Using this fantastic site can help place smart wagers in an easy-to-use fashion and maximize the ROI on the wagers. It is truly betting made simple since you can find the best bet in 30 seconds or less.

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Longshot NBA Parlay Picks & Player Props Tonight

The first step is finding the brand new Parlay Builder for OddsShopper. It is located on the top banner and is just one click away. This tool is a game changer because the Awesemo data scientists have built the parlay already. The user has the choice of what type of parlay they prefer to chase, and the state is customizable along with the sportsbook. Though it is rare, underdogs eventually have their day, and when they do, the payouts are oh so nice. Here are our best bets for underdogs if you like to fade the favs and cheer for the upset at high odds. As a reminder, betting the props individually is always a smart way to build your bankroll. An underdog parlay is not exactly the most stable return if it is always being bet just as a parlay. Let us find out what the best-projected bets are for Tuesday and build some NBA parlay picks.

Joel Embiid Over 12.5 Rebounds

It would take some extra effort from Joel Embiid on the glass tonight since he averages 10.9 rebounds per game, but this matchup would give him a shot. OddsShopper has a 68% expected win rate for Embiid when the Philadelphia 76ers take on the Toronto Raptors tonight. The Raptors are still missing a lot of players to health and safety protocols, and Toronto is just 19th in rebounds per game. They also rank just 27th in rebounds allowed in the paint, and Embiid averages 18.1 rebound chances per game at a 60.2% conversion rate.

Franz Wagner Under 2.5 Assists

The Orlando Magic remains a team in flux with injuries and players in the health and safety protocols, but Franz Wagner has remained in the lineup through it all. For the season his assist rate is just 13.6%, and even shrinking the sample size down to the past two weeks, the assist rate is just 12.7%. The Magic face the Milwaukee Bucks tonight, who appear to be at full strength, and Wagner likely will play 30 to 32 minutes. OddsShopper has an expected win rate of 72%, the second largest of the four-leg parlay.

 
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Herbert Jones Under 10.5 Points

The games log from last time out for Herbert Jones and the Pelicans would make this look like a poor wager. However, Brandon Ingram left that game mid-way through, and Jonas Valanciunas was already out for that game. Ingram is likely to remain out tonight when the Pelicans face the Cleveland Cavaliers, but Valanciunas is expected back. That lowers the expectations for Jones, who is only averaging 7.4 points per game on the season. On top of that, Cleveland is second in defensive rating on the season, and OddsShopper gives Jones a 60% expected win rate for this wager.


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Kevon Looney Over 7.5 Rebounds

On the surface, this feels like a large number for Kevon Looney to hit since he is averaging 6.4 rebounds per game. However, the Golden State Warriors are short-handed tonight when they take on the Denver Nuggets. The loss of Draymond Green is of major importance here because that was the best chance the Warriors had of containing Nikola Jokic for the Nuggets. Looney is going to be forced to play as many minutes as he can handle against Jokic because a smaller lineup cannot run him off the floor like some other big men.

Even with Jokic, Denver is just 14th in rebounds allowed in the paint. Looney averages 11.2 rebound chances per game despite playing under 20 minutes per night typically. Extra minutes should give him a great chance to get there, and OddsShopper agrees with a 74% expected win rate, the highest of the parlay. With this leg to round it out, the Awesemo Parlay Calculator has a +1786 return, and that is well worth chasing.


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