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MUST-BET NBA Picks & Parlays Tonight: Best Longshot Bets & Player Props Tuesday 3/8/22




Free No House Advantage picks today and props for the Friday NBA DFS slate using expert projections & Awesemo's rankings tonight.

Tonight’s slate of NBA games is very interesting and it is getting down to crunch time as far as playoff seeding and who is going to get in. The game that comes to mind immediately for any picks for the NBA parlay is the Brooklyn Nets facing the Hornets in Charlotte. They are tied at a 32-33 record, eighth in the Eastern Conference. Both teams are just 2.5 games outside of the seventh seed and this game carries a 239-point total, the highest of the slate.

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That means it is time to use Awesemo OddsShopper to build some of the best NBA picks and parlays today. Using this fantastic site and all of its NBA betting tips can help place smart wagers in an easy-to-use fashion and maximize the ROI on the wagers. It is truly betting made simple since you can find the best bet in 30 seconds or less.

Longshot NBA Picks & Parlays, Player Prop Bets Tonight

The first step is finding the brand new Parlay Builder for OddsShopper. It is located on the top banner and is just one click away. This tool is a game-changer because the Awesemo data scientists have built the parlay already. The user has the choice of what type of parlay they prefer to chase, and the state is customizable along with the sportsbook. Though it is rare, underdogs eventually have their day, and when they do, the payouts are oh so nice. Here are our best bets for underdogs if you like to fade the faves and cheer for the upset at high odds. As a reminder, betting the props individually is always a smart way to build your bankroll. An underdog parlay is not exactly the most stable return if it is always being bet just as a parlay. Let us find out what the best-projected bets are for Tuesday and build some NBA parlays today.

Kevin Durant Over 5.5 Assists

The NBA parlay kicks off in the Nets game and the unquestioned leader on the court is Kevin Durant. This number on paper truthfully does not make a lot of sense, let alone getting it at a +110 ROI. For starters, Durant is averaging 5.8 assists per game on the season as a whole with 9.8 potential assists. Those numbers are with James Harden and taking him off the court vaults Durant to a 34.7% assist rate, the highest number on the team in that scenario. The opponent is an elite target as well since the Hornets have been a team to exploit all season long, as they are third in pace and 20th in defensive rating. OddsShopper has an expected win rate of 53% and the game environment is spectacular. With the Nets needing as many wins as they can get, Durant is going to be counted on for nearly 40 minutes tonight as well.

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Wendell Carter Jr. Over 10.5 Rebounds

OddsShopper backs up this play with a 55% expected win rate and Wendell Carter Jr. finds himself in a quietly good matchup when the Orlando Magic play the Phoenix Suns tonight. Not only are the Suns still missing multiple rotation players, but they are also only 19th in rebounds allowed in the paint. That is a bit surprising since Deandre Ayton plays a bunch of minutes for them and they have quality backup centers but are simply below average on the glass inside the paint. Not only is Carter Jr. 12th in the NBA in rebounding chances per game (17.4 and higher than Ayton), 8.1 rebounds per game come from inside of six feet. With the spread sitting at only six points, the Magic have a much better chance of staying in this game long enough to get Carter Jr. to 11 rebounds or more tonight for a +100 ROI.

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Darius Garland Over 23.5 Points

This is a bit of a jump from the seasonal average for Darius Garland, who is at 20.6 points per game. However, the Cleveland Cavaliers are going to be awfully thin when they face the Indiana Pacers. Cleveland is without Rajon Rondo, Caris LeVert, Jarrett Allen and they have been without Collin Sexton and Ricky Rubio for quite a while now. The sample size is about 233 minutes for Garland and he has had a 29.9% usage rate with just a 49.9% true shooting rate. In comparison, Garland is at 58.4% for the season so there is a major correction on the way. The Pacers are sitting 26th in defensive rating right now. The standings are in play for the Cavaliers, as well, since they are sixth in the East and have a three-game lead on the seventh seed. They need to stay in sixth to guarantee a playoff series and Garland is going to need to carry the Cavaliers more than usual offensively tonight. That leads to a 50% expected win rate from OddsShopper, making Garland a worthwhile pick for the NBA parlay.

Desmond Bane Under 2.5 Assists

The final leg of the NBA parlay tonight comes from the Memphis Grizzlies facing the New Orleans Pelicans. This game has a 231.5-point total. That does not mean that Desmond Bane is going to dish out a bunch of assists, since he averages just 2.5 per game on five potential assists. Bane is making 39.7 passes per game, which is second on the team, but he is a sharpshooter from a 3-point distance at 41.2%. That may come into play tonight since the Pelicans are in the bottom 10 in both frequency allowed and field goal percentage allowed, so when Bane has the ball, there is every reason for him to shoot. He’ is another player that has an ROI of +100 on his wager with an expected win rate of 54% and these four legs give a return of +1580 from the Awesemo Parlay Calculator.

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