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NBA Picks & Parlays Tonight: Best Longshot Bets & Player Props Friday 3/25/22




Best NBA bets today free expert NBA betting picks predictions tonight Suns vs. Mavericks

There is only one game on the NBA schedule tonight that features two teams with direct playoff implications, but plenty of teams need to win. There is one notable exception that just happens to have the highest total of the slate, so there are a lot of routes to make picks for a longshot parlay tonight.

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This is a perfect opportunity to use Awesemo OddsShopper to make some of the best NBA parlay picks today. Using this fantastic site and basketball betting tips can help place smart wagers in an easy-to-use fashion and maximize the ROI on the wagers. It is truly betting made simple, as it guides you in how to bet on sports, helping you find the best bet in 30 seconds or less.

Longshot NBA Parlay Picks & Player Props Today

The first step is finding the brand new Parlay Builder for OddsShopper. It is located on the top banner and is just one click away. This tool is a game changer because the Awesemo data scientists have built the parlay already. The user has the choice of what type of parlay they prefer to chase, and the state is customizable along with the sportsbook. Though it is rare, underdogs eventually have their day, and when they do, the payouts are nice. Here are our best bets for underdogs if you like to fade the favorites and cheer for the upset at high odds. As a reminder, betting the props individually is always a smart way to build your bankroll. An underdog parlay is not exactly the most stable return if it is always being bet just as a parlay. Let’s find out what the best-projected bets are for Friday on Caesars and build some NBA parlay picks on OddsShopper!

Luka Doncic Over 3.5 3-Pointers

The one game that does have some playoff implications for both teams is the matchup between the Dallas Mavericks and Minnesota Timberwolves. Both teams are 7-3 in their last 10, and Dallas is fifth in the West while Minnesota is seventh, separated by 3.5 games. The larger factor is the Denver Nuggets in sixth, but they are only one game ahead of Minnesota, so both teams need the win. Luka Doncic is only shooting 34.4% from 3, but the Timberwolves allow the third-highest frequency of 3-point attempts this season. Doncic is up to sixth in the league in 3-point attempts per game (8.7), and he’s been shooting at least 10 attempts per game lately. He’s shot at least 10 in nine games straight, and the expected win rate on this bet is 57% from OddsShopper for a +100 ROI.

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Jordan Poole Over 4.5 Assists

OddsShopper has an expected win rate of 59% for Jordan Poole tonight when the Golden State Warriors visit the Atlanta Hawks, and the +100 ROI is very exciting. Stephen Curry remains out, and Poole has a 27.1% assist rate when Curry is off the floor. Even in just three games without Curry over the past week, Poole is averaging 12.3 potential assists and six per game. He’s going to play over 35 minutes provided the game stays close, and it only has a spread of 2.5 points. Additionally, the Hawks rank in the bottom five in defensive rating and Poole has made over 65 passes per game in the last three contests. The metrics would point to this number being quite low for the return.

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Mike Conley Over 5.5 Assists

To be clear, OddsShopper only has an expected win rate of 45% for Mike Conley, but this parlay is about finding longshot wagers. The ROI is +122, and the matchup for the Utah Jazz against the Charlotte Hornets is elite. The Hornets are fourth in pace and 23rd in defensive rating, while Conley averages 5.3 assists per game. It’s that time of the season where Utah will ramp up Conley to playing 32 minutes or more to get ready for the playoffs, and with Bojan Bogdanovic off the floor Conley has an assist rate of 27.9%. Conley also is the ball handler in the pick-and-roll game at a 50% frequency, the third highest in the league. Charlotte is allowing the fourth-highest field goal percentage to the roll man in the pick-and-roll, which opens the door wide for Conley to rack up six assists or more tonight.

Reggie Jackson Over 5.5 Assists

The Los Angeles Clippers are likely stuck as the eighth seed in the West since they are six games behind the seventh-seeded Timberwolves and they have a 4.5 game lead on the New Orleans Pelicans, who are in ninth. Reggie Jackson is going to be cut off at 32 minutes according to coach Tyronn Lue, but that is plenty to hit the over on this wager. Since Paul George has been out in December, Jackson has led the team in assist rate (28.8%), assists per game (5.4) and potential assists (10.2). That has been with an average of 30 minutes, so his “limit” is not relevant. Plus, Jackson always has the ball in his hands with a 30.1% usage rate. He has an expected win rate of 53% from OddsShopper, and the Awesemo Parlay Calculator has a return of +1676 for this four-leg longshot parlay.

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