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NBA Picks & Parlays Tonight: Best Longshot Bets & Player Props Friday 3/11/22




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After a slower night on the schedule last night, the NBA is back in full gear tonight with 10 contests. Only two of those games have a spread above 10 points and eight of them also have a total of over 220 points. That leaves a lot of ways to make some long-shot picks for an NBA parlay.

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This is a perfect opportunity to use Awesemo OddsShopper to make some of the best NBA parlay picks today. Using this fantastic site and basketball betting tips can help place smart wagers in an easy-to-use fashion and maximize the ROI on the wagers. It is truly betting made simple, as it guides you in how to bet on sports, helping you find the best bet in 30 seconds or less.

Longshot NBA Parlay Picks & Player Props Today

The first step is finding the brand new Parlay Builder for OddsShopper. It is located on the top banner and is just one click away. This tool is a game-changer because the Awesemo data scientists have built the parlay already. The user has the choice of what type of parlay they prefer to chase, and the state is customizable along with the sportsbook. Though it is rare, underdogs eventually have their day, and when they do, the payouts are nice. Here are our best bets for underdogs if you like to fade the favorites and cheer for the upset at high odds. As a reminder, betting the props individually is always a smart way to build your bankroll. An underdog parlay is not exactly the most stable return if it is always being bet just as a parlay. Let’s find out what the best-projected bets are for Friday on Caesars and build some NBA parlay picks on OddsShopper!

Darius Garland Over 2.5 3-Pointers

This is not just about chasing Darius Garland scoring 41 points in his last game when the Cleveland Cavaliers take on the Miami Heat tonight. The game does have the lowest total of the evening at just 210 points but the Cavaliers need wins to hold onto the sixth seed in the Eastern Conference and are still missing rotation players. Garland played 38 minutes in this past game and he is up to shooting 38.4% from a 3-point distance. While Miami does have a top-five defensive rating, they also allow the highest frequency of 3-point attempts in the league (45.7%). They are one of four teams that allow more than 38 attempts from a 3-point distance and Garland will have the minutes on the court and the opportunity with a usage rate near 30% for the current iteration of the Cavaliers roster. With an ROI of +122 and an expected win rate of 60% from OddsShopper, this is a strong start to the NBA parlay.

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Kyle Kuzma Over 8.5 Rebounds

The Washington Wizards are facing the Los Angeles Lakers tonight and Kyle Kuzma has an expected win rate of 70% from OddsShopper for this number. He is averaging 8.7 rebounds on the season and the Lakers are just 16th in rebounding, so there is going to be an opportunity for Kuzma in this spot. He is leading the Wizards with 13.7 rebounding chances per game this year and the 63.2% conversions rate is a very strong number for him. Where Kuzma can really do his damage is within six feet of the basket, since six rebounds per game come in that range. The Lakers are 22nd in rebounds allowed in the paint and the ROI fits +100.

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Devonte’ Graham Over 3.5 3-Pointers

OddsShopper does have an expected win rate of 46%, so being smart with the bankroll is a good move with this wager. With the news that both C.J. McCollum and Brandon Ingram are out of the New Orleans Pelicans tonight, Devonte’ Graham is going to log a ton of minutes tonight. He is facing off against the Charlotte Hornets and they play at one of the fastest paces in basketball, in addition to being in the bottom five in 3-point frequency allowed (42.9%). In these past two games without Ingram, Graham has taken seven and six 3-point attempts and that number is very unlikely to go down tonight. While Graham is only shooting 34.5% from a 3-point distance, the ROI of +118 is far too appealing for the game environment and the role in the offense this evening. He should come close to 10 attempts tonight and the risk is worth it.

Pascal Siakam Under 8.5 Rebounds

The only under of the parlay comes from the Toronto Raptors taking on the Phoenix Suns. Pascal Siakam is averaging 8.4 rebounds per game on the season and leads the Raptors with 13.6 chances per night. While his conversion rate is 61.8%, the Suns are seventh in rebounding overall but the weakness is in the paint, where they rank 21st. Siakam averages 5.8 within six feet of the basket but Deandre Ayton does have a size advantage and is more of a true center than Siakam is. Not only that, Jae Crowder and Mikal Bridges are both over four rebounds per game and they will chip in to keep them away from Siakam. It is a task for Siakam to get to nine rebounds and the Awesemo Parlay Calculator has a return of +1884 while Siakam has an expected win rate of 55% himself.

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