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Same Game Parlay of the Night: Best NBA Picks & Parlays Tonight | 1/11/22




Same-game parlays are one of the most exciting new forms of betting on sports. Not only are the payouts potentially massive, but they can also be +EV. Since all of the wagers take place in the same contest, it allows you to craft a narrative that can pay off royally if it hits. Same-game parlays become even better with the help of OddsShopper. It allows you to view all of the different wagers available for each game compared to the Awesemo NBA Projections. The wider the gap between the line and the projection, the more +EV the wager. This allows you to find the best NBA betting picks easily. Let us dive into some of the best NBA picks and parlays tonight.

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Same Game NBA Picks and Parlays: Warriors vs. Grizzlies

The first step is finding which sport you are going to wager on, so the banner at the top of the screen has the sports separated. Once you are on the NBA page, it is super simple to customize what you are looking for as far as teams and players on the left-hand side of the page.

Now, if you miss one of the odds highlighted in the article because it changed, do not worry. The lines do not always stay the same as they are updated every two minutes. There will be examples of when you can still wager based on the Awesemo projections. It is also easy to sort the props by what style you want to bet them, meaning that you can choose the highest ROI or the highest expected win rate.

Generally, the best approach is a mix of the highest ROI and expected win rate, and this process should take under 30 seconds to filter what you are looking for. The highlighted wagers in the article can also be bet individually, so if the parlay misses by one leg, it is not a total loss.

Kevon Looney Over 6.5 Points and Over 7.5 Rebounds

Looney is coming off arguably his best game of the season in his last outing, finishing with six boards and 18 rebounds over approximately 29.5 minutes. He should be looking at another expanded workload on Tuesday, with Draymond Green out and Otto Porter currently questionable.

His rebound production is a definition outlier, but he should still be able to grab at least eight boards in this matchup. Looney has averaged just 6.7 rebounds per game so far this season, but he has done that in an average of 20.0 minutes. If he is going to play closer to 30 on Tuesday – Awesemo projects him for 26.6 minutes – this number is simply too low. OddsShopper gives this expected win rate of 65% on OddsShopper.

While Looney is due for some rebounding regression, he is also due for some scoring progression. He has averaged 6 points per game in his 20 minutes, so he should be able to get to seven with a few additional minutes.

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Klay Thompson Under 14.5 Points

It is not fun to be the under on a player like Thompson. He might have the highest approval rating among NBA fans, but he is just not going to be a huge factor on Tuesday. He played less than 20 minutes in his first game back, and head coach Steve Kerr said he should see a similar workload against the Grizzlies.

Thompson was able to score 17 points in limited playing time in his first matchup, but he also hoisted 18 shots. He will not be quite as active in his second game back, making him a strong fade candidate.

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Ja Morant Under 25.5 Points

If fading Thompson did not make me unpopular, fading Morant certainly will. He is one of the most exciting players in basketball, and he has led the Grizzlies to nine straight wins.

As exciting as Morant is, he remains a work in progress. He had a torrid five-game stretch where he averaged 33.2 points, but he shot an unsustainable 54.9% from the field and 70.0% from 3-point range. Those are well above Morant’s norms, especially from downtown.

Unsurprisingly, he has cooled off a bit since then. He has scored 22 points or fewer in each of his past two games, and he should struggle once again against the Warriors. They have not just been the best defense in the league this season, but they have been so by a considerable margin. Overall, Morant has averaged 24.7 points per game this year, so asking him to score less than 25 is extremely reasonable in this contest.

Andrew Wiggins Under 2.5 Assists

Adding this to the wagers brings the potential payout to approximately +1800 on this same-game parlay.

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In general, betting against Wiggins to do things other than score on a basketball court is a good decision. He has averaged just 2.3 assists per game for his career, and he is at just 1.9 assists per game this season. Overall, he has logged two assists or fewer in 26 of his 35 games this season. Unsurprisingly, this prop has an expected win rate of 68% on OddsShopper.

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