Same-game parlays are one of the most exciting new forms of betting on sports. Not only are the payouts potentially massive, but they can also be +EV. Since all of the wagers take place in the same contest, it allows you to craft a narrative that can pay off royally if it hits. Same-game parlays become even better with the help of OddsShopper. It allows you to view all of the different wagers available for each game compared to the Awesemo NBA Projections. The wider the gap between the line and the projection, the more +EV the wager. This allows you to find the best NBA betting picks easily. Let’s dive into some of the best NBA picks and parlays tonight.
Best Same Game NBA Picks and Parlays: Cavaliers vs. Wizards
The first step is finding which sport you are going to wager on, so the banner at the top of the screen has the sports separated. Once you are on the NBA page, it is super simple to customize what you are looking for as far as teams and players on the left-hand side of the page.
Now, if you miss one of the odds highlighted in the article because it changed, do not worry. The lines do not always stay the same as they are updated every two minutes. There will be examples of when you can still wager based on the Awesemo projections. It is also easy to sort the props by what style you want to bet them, meaning that you can choose the highest ROI or the highest expected win rate.
Generally, the best approach is a mix of the highest ROI and expected win rate, and this process should take under 30 seconds to filter what you are looking for. The highlighted wagers in the article can also be bet individually, so if the parlay misses by one leg, it is not a total loss.
Lauri Markkanen Over 15.5 Points and Over 5.5 Rebounds
Markkanen stands out as one of the top players to target in this contest. The Cavaliers are extremely banged up at the moment, and they are expected to be without Jarrett Allen and Cedi Osman against the Wizards. That should open up plenty of minutes for Markkanen at both forward spots.
The absence of Allen should also help Markkanen from a rebounding perspective. He has increased his usage rate by 0.8% with Allen off the court this season, and while that is not a huge number, it does give him a slight boost. He has averaged 6.9 rebounds per 36 minutes with Allen off the court, and OddsShopper projects Markkanen for 33 minutes in this matchup. That should be enough playing time for him to hit the over on 5.5 boards, and his rebounding prop has an expected win rate of 56%.
Markkanen should also be asked to do a bit more as a scorer. The team is also missing Collin Sexton, Darius Garland and Ricky Rubio, which leaves the team without a ton of offensive firepower. Markkanen has seen a team-high usage bump of 2.6% with Sexton and Garland off the court, so he figures to be one of the biggest beneficiaries. The over on Markkanen’s scoring prop has an expected win rate of 72%, which is the top mark in this game.
Dean Wade Over 4.5 Rebounds
Like Markkanen, Wade should also be asked to hit the boards a bit more than usual. The team has limited Kevin Love’s minutes all season, so Wade should be locked into 30 minutes on today’s slate. He is coming off nearly 33.4 minutes in his last outing, and he responded with six boards. Wade has seen an even larger boost to his rebound rate than Markkanen with Allen off the court this season, and he has also averaged 6.9 rebounds per 36 minutes in that situation. He does not need as many rebounds as Markkanen to hit the over on his current prop, and OddsShopper gives it an expected win rate of 61%.
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Isaac Okoro Over 2.5 Assists
With all of the Cavaliers’ absences at point guard, they are going to have to turn to some unexpected sources on Thursday. Okoro is typically a shooting guard, but he could be forced to play some point guard by default. He has played just nine minutes this season with Sexton, Garland, and Rubio off the court this season, but it stands to reason that he would be more involved as a distributor. Okoro averages 2.2 assists per 36 minutes, so he does not need a huge boost to hit the over on 2.5. OddsShopper projects Okoro for 3.0 assists, giving this prop an expected win rate of 58%.
Bettors can throw in the Cavaliers at either +4 or on the moneyline to improve the potential payout. The Cavaliers have been the best team in the league this season at covering the spread, posting a record of 25-7-2. That is good for a cover rate of 78.1%, and no other team has covered at greater than a 65.6% clip.
The Cavaliers have also been fantastic as an underdog. They are 10-13 on the moneyline in that situation, and while that does not scream “value,” it is an elite mark. It is good for a return on investment of 41.5%, making them the fifth-most profitable team in that situation this year.
The Cavaliers obviously have more question marks than usual given all their absences, but they still have guys like Markkanen, Love, and Evan Mobley. The Wizards are not the same caliber of team, especially if they are without Bradley Beal. The Cavaliers can still win this game, even with a depleted roster.
Adding the Cavaliers on the spread brings the odds on this same-game parlay to approximately +1825, while adding the moneyline brings it to +2290. Either way, there is plenty of merit to adding the Cavaliers as a NBA parlay pick tonight.
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