Saturday features a seven-game slate, but one game stands out above the rest. The defending champion Bucks will travel to San Fransisco to take on the Warriors in a heavyweight clash. The Bucks are currently riding a six-game win streak, while the Warriors have won two straight following a five-game skid. Let’s dive into some NBA betting tips tonight and how to find the best NBA picks and parlays for March 11.
Same Game NBA Picks and Parlay: Bucks at Warriors
The first step is finding which sport you are going to wager on, so the banner at the top of the screen has the sports separated. Once on the NBA page, it is super simple to customize teams and players on the left-hand side of the page.
Now, if you miss one of the odds highlighted in the article because it changed, do not worry. The lines do not always stay the same as they are updated every two minutes. There will be examples of when you can still wager based on the Awesemo projections. It is also easy to sort the props by what style you want to bet them, meaning that you can choose the highest ROI or the highest expected win rate.
Generally, the best approach is a mix of the highest ROI and expected win rate, and this process should take under 30 seconds to filter what you are looking for. The highlighted wagers in the article can also be bet individually, so if the parlay misses by one leg, it is not a total loss.
Stephen Curry Over 6.5 Assists
Curry’s assist prop has dipped back below seven, which means we can attack it with an over. Curry has been a subpar distributor of late, handing out five assists or fewer in each of his past three games, but he has still displayed plenty of upside in that department with Draymond Green out of the lineup. He’s increased his assist rate by +1.2% in 27 games without Green this season, resulting in an average of 7.0 assists per 36 minutes. That number was even higher before his poor recent production, so there is definitely a reason to believe in a bounce back.
This game should also feature plenty of points. The total sits at 238 points, which is tied for the top mark on the slate.
Serge Ibaka Over 0.5 Assists
I did not anticipate being on an Ibaka assist over very often this season, but it stands out as one of the best wagers in this contest per OddsShopper. Ibaka has carved out a decent role since arriving in Milwaukee, averaging just under 20 minutes in his 10 games. He hasn’t handed out a ton of assists over that time frame – he has just five total – but Ibaka has historically been much better than that throughout his career. He’s averaged at least 1.3 assists per game in each of the past three seasons. Asking any player to hand out one assist in 20 minutes seems very reasonable, and OddsShopper gives the over on this prop an expected win rate of 66%.
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Jordan Poole Over 16.5 Points
Poole has been playing excellent basketball of late. He’s scored at least 21 points in each of his past five games, and he’s seen a spike in playing time over that time frame. The Warriors are currently without Green, Andre Iguodala, Otto Porter, and Gary Payton II, which has opened up some additional playing time for Poole off the bench. He is a candidate for some shooting regression, but playing with Curry and Klay Thompson is going to result in a lot of open looks. He’s underpriced as long as he continues to play 30+ minutes.
Khris Middleton Under 21.5 Points
Middleton has had another quality season for the Bucks, making the All-Star Game for the third time in the past four years. His average of 20.3 points per game is also the third-highest mark of his career.
However, Middleton is a bit of a streaky scorer. He’ll have quarters where he can’t miss and others where he couldn’t hit water if he fell out of a boat. Overall, he’s scored 21 or fewer points in 34 of 55 games this season, yet the under on 21.5 is available at even money. I like the sound of that.
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