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Best NBA Picks & Parlays Tonight: Expert Bets & Player Props for Monday 3/21/22




There is another nine-game slate tonight in the NBA and the opportunities for teams to make a move in the playoff race grow smaller every day. Only one game has a spread over 7.5 points tonight, so competitive game environments abound to build NBA parlays tonight.

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It is a perfect opportunity to use Awesemo OddsShopper to build some of the best NBA parlay picks today. Using this fantastic site can help place smart wagers in an easy-to-use fashion and maximize the ROI on the wagers. It is truly betting made simple since you can find the best bet in 30 seconds or less. Take these NBA betting today, then head to OddsShopper and find your best odds.

Best NBA Picks and Parlays Today

The first step is locating the new Parlay Builder tab on the OddsShopper home page, which is very simple to do. After that, the user can customize to their heart’s content. OddsShopper offers the parlay bets by state, sportsbooks, and a variety of parlays. This article will be featuring the Prop Party Parlay, which gives up to five player prop bets that will give you the best chance to win based on our Awesemo simulations. The prop party is the most popular betting combo within the Awesemo community and Alex “Awesemo” Baker – the world’s No. 1 daily fantasy player — uses these almost exclusively when he is looking for an edge. It is always a smart idea to bet each wager as a solo piece as a way to build the bankroll. Parlays by their nature are harder to hit, which is why the reward is so large. Monday’s version of the Prop Party features four wagers as of 11 a.m. on the DraftKings Sportsbook, so be sure to check OddsShopper for any updates when building any NBA parlay.

Kevin Durant Over 30.5 Points

This number is enormous, but the Brooklyn Nets will be without Kyrie Irving again this evening since the matchup against the Utah Jazz is in Brooklyn. Durant will have to carry the offense against a strong Jazz team that played the Knicks last night, so they will have some slightly tired legs. Brooklyn could also be missing Goran Dragic at the point guard position, as he is currently questionable tonight. In the last game, Durant poured in 38 real points despite taking only 15 shot attempts (he did take 15 free throws), but his usage dictates a big number tonight. The usage rate rises to 36.1%, and Brooklyn is still three games behind the Toronto Raptors for the seventh seed in the Eastern Conference. It is a long shot to catch them at this point, but until that is impossible, it should be expected for them to put their best foot forward. That means Durant is going to try to score as much as he can, and OddsShopper has an expected win rate of 56%, despite the sky-high number.

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LeBron James Over 30.5 Points

This is a second straight huge number, but the Los Angeles Lakers hold a slim 2.5-game lead for the 10th seed in the Western Conference. They are not locked into a playoff spot, and LeBron James is going to need to continue to put up massive numbers for them to win. The Lakers are in Cleveland to face the Cavaliers tonight, and it is among the last times James will be in Cleveland as an active player. While scoring over 30 points seems unlikely, James is averaging 29.8 points per game this season and is tied for the NBA scoring lead despite his age and team context. The Cavaliers have fallen to a below-average team in defensive rating without Jarrett Allen on the floor, and James has taken at least 20 field goal attempts in four of his past five games. OddsShopper does have this as a true 50-50 split as far as the expected win rate, but James and the Lakers have no margin for error.

LaMelo Ball Over 18.5 Points

OddsShopper is sticking with another points prop, and the focus is staying on a team that is jockeying for seeding in the East. The Charlotte Hornets, Brooklyn Nets and Atlanta Hawks are within two games of each other for the eighth, ninth and 10th seeds in the East, so LaMelo Ball and the Hornets are going to give it everything they have against the New Orleans Pelicans tonight. New Orleans is another team that played last night and had to travel, so this is a good spot for Ball to jump on them offensively. Ball is averaging 19.7 points per game despite barely averaging over 32 minutes on the floor, and he is shooting 37.5% from 3. Meanwhile, the Pelicans are in the bottom eight in both 3-point frequency allowed and field goal percentage allowed, so this is a great matchup for Ball to hit multiple 3-point shots. Additionally, Ball scores 6.4 points per game from driving to the hoop., and the Pelicans allow the third-highest field goal percentage on shots within five feet of the basket. It is easy to see why OddsShopper has a 62% expected win rate on this wager.

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Fred VanVleet Over 18.5 Points

The NBA parlay wraps up with one last wager on points, and Eastern playoff teams are the focus. Fred VanVleet sat out the game for the Toronto Raptors last night but will play tonight and is averaging 21.1 points on the season. It is very notable whenever there is this big of a gap between a player’s average and the wager, and OddsShopper giving a 62% expected win rate is in line with the appeal. VanVleet is just under 39% from 3 this season, and the Chicago Bulls are tied for the fourth-highest field goal percentage from 3. The Raptors have a strong incentive to win as many games as they can because they trail the Cavaliers by one game for the sixth seed. That seed is of major importance since that team is guaranteed a playoff series, as opposed to going through the play-in scenarios. VanVleet is one of the main engines of the Raptors offense and tonight will be no different. All told, this four-leg NBA parlay gives a +1244 return according to the Awesemo Parlay Calculator. Keeping a focus on teams that have the most to play for is one of the best ways to guarantee minutes on the court and full effort at this juncture of the season.

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