Tuesday’s NBA slate is on the small side, with just four games to choose from. The Suns will travel to New Orleans to take on the Pelicans in the nightcap, and this game has some big potential implications. The Pelicans are one game behind the Lakers for the No. 9 spot in the West, so they could inch a bit closer if they’re able to upset the Suns at home. The difference between the ninth and 10th seed may not seem like much, but it will determine homecourt advantage in the first play-in game. Let’s dive into some NBA betting tips tonight and how to find the best NBA picks and parlays for March 15.
Same Game NBA Picks and Parlay: Suns vs. Pelicans
The first step is finding which sport you are going to wager on, so the banner at the top of the screen has the sports separated. Once on the NBA page, it is super simple to customize teams and players on the left-hand side of the page.
Now, if you miss one of the odds highlighted in the article because it changed, do not worry. The lines do not always stay the same as they are updated every two minutes. There will be examples of when you can still wager based on the Awesemo projections. It is also easy to sort the props by what style you want to bet them, meaning that you can choose the highest ROI or the highest expected win rate.
Generally, the best approach is a mix of the highest ROI and expected win rate, and this process should take under 30 seconds to filter what you are looking for. The highlighted wagers in the article can also be bet individually, so if the parlay misses by one leg, it is not a total loss.
Landry Shamet Over 6.5 Points and Over 1.5 Rebounds
Shamet hasn’t played a huge role for the Suns this season, averaging just 20.5 minutes over his 55 games. However, he has played a bit more of late given the team’s injuries. They’re currently without Chris Paul and Cameron Johnson, and Shamet has averaged 26.6 minutes over his previous seven games. That number would be even higher if not for a blowout win vs. the Lakers on Sunday.
Shamet is currently projected for 23.4 minutes vs. the Pelicans, and both of these numbers feel low. His scoring prop grades out extremely favorably on OddsShopper – the over owns an expected win rate of 66% — while the over on his rebounding prop is available at better than even money.
Jaxson Hayes Over 10.5 Points
Hayes has taken over as the Pelicans starting power forward of late. He’s started each of their past 10 games, and he is averaging 24.9 minutes in those contests. Hayes is coming off a whopping 21-point performance in his last outing, and he’s hit the over on 10.5 points in two consecutive games.
His usage rate will likely take a slight hit with C.J. McCollum returning to the lineup, but Brandon Ingram remains sidelined. Hayes has increased his usage rate by +1.7% with Ingram off the floor this season, resulting in an average of 19.8 points per 36 minutes. That makes the over on 10.5 points very doable in around 24 minutes.
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Devin Booker Over 5.5 Assists
This is the best prop in this game. Booker is technically sharing the point guard duties with Cameron Payne, but he’s still seen a massive increase in playmaking in games without Chris Paul. He has increased his assist rate by +8.8%, resulting in an average of 8.3 assists per game. Booker has just one game over his past seven with less than seven assists, and he’s had at last eight in four of them. This line feels at least one assist too low, and OddsShopper gives the over an expected win rate of 61%.
Jae Crowder Under 12.5 Points
Most of the props in this contest are grading out more favorably on the over than the under, but unders have historically been more profitable.
For an under to fill out the parlay card, the under on Crowder’s scoring prop stands out as one of the best. Crowder has the ability to get hot from behind the arc, but he’s hit the under on 12.5 points in three of his past four games.
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