The NCAA Tournament will get most of the attention this week, but don’t forget about the NBA! There are nine games to choose from on Monday, including a nightcap of the Wizards vs. Warriors. These two teams are headed in opposite directions and the Warriors are listed as sizable home favorites, but there is still value to be had in the player prop market. Let’s dive into some NBA betting tips tonight and how to find the best NBA picks and parlays for March 14.
Same Game NBA Picks and Parlay: Wizards at Warriors
The first step is finding which sport you are going to wager on, so the banner at the top of the screen has the sports separated. Once on the NBA page, it is super simple to customize teams and players on the left-hand side of the page.
Now, if you miss one of the odds highlighted in the article because it changed, do not worry. The lines do not always stay the same as they are updated every two minutes. There will be examples of when you can still wager based on the Awesemo projections. It is also easy to sort the props by what style you want to bet them, meaning that you can choose the highest ROI or the highest expected win rate.
Generally, the best approach is a mix of the highest ROI and expected win rate, and this process should take under 30 seconds to filter what you are looking for. The highlighted wagers in the article can also be bet individually, so if the parlay misses by one leg, it is not a total loss.
Klay Thompson Over 2.5 Assists
Thompson is coming off his best game of the season in the Warriors’ last outing. He led the team with 38 points in a victory over the Bucks and also racked up six boards and five assists.
Thompson continues to see a bit more playing time as the team looks to ramp him up before the postseason. He has played at least 33.4 minutes in three straight games and asking him to hand out three assists in that much playing time is very feasible. He has averaged 4.0 assists per 36 minutes so far this season.
With that in mind, the fact the over on 2.5 is available as high as +130 is an incredible value. It stands out as the best NBA player prop in this contest and one of the best on the entire slate, per OddsShopper.
Stephen Curry Over 3.5 Made 3-Pointers and Over 4.5 Rebounds
There are two Curry overs to focus on for Monday’s slate. The first involves his ability to knock down 3-pointers, which is obviously something that he is known for. He is already the career leader in made 3-pointers at just 33 years old. Curry has actually had a down year from a 3-point perspective. He is making a career-low 37.8% of his attempts, but still averaged 4.5 3-pointers per game this season. He has had at least four 3’s in 41 of his 62 contests.
The other over is on his rebound prop. Curry is not known for his rebounding prowess, but he is actually an excellent rebounder for his size. He is on pace to average at least 5.1 boards for the fifth straight year despite always being one of the smallest players on the court. Curry has ripped down at least five boards in five of his past six games, so there is significant value on over 4.5 for this NBA player prop bet.
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Kyle Kuzma Under 19.5 Points
Kuzma has had an excellent first season for the Wizards and has served as the team’s top-scoring threat with Bradley Beal out of the lineup. However, things have changed a bit with Kristaps Porzingis now in the picture. Porzingis has played in three of the Wizards’ past four games and has posted a 30.4% usage rate in those contests. If Porzingis is going to continue to command such a large share of the possessions, it is going to impact Kuzma’s scoring potential.
Kuzma has managed to stave off regression through his first three games with Porzingis, but he has shot 49.0% from the field. Things will be much tougher vs. the Warriors, who have been one of the best defensive teams in basketball this season. The Wizards are currently implied for just 107.0 points, so they do not figure to do a ton of scoring in this spot.
Kristaps Porzingis Over 6.5 Rebounds
Porzingis was quiet on the glass in his first two games with the Wizards, with just six total rebounds over 46.2 minutes. However, he exploded for 14 rebounds in his last outing.
Porzingis is not an elite rebounder for his size, but he has still averaged 7.6 boards over 29.1 minutes per game this season. His playing time should only increase as he gets further removed from his injury, so taking the over on 6.5 has merit. It currently owns an expected win rate of 58% on OddsShopper.
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