Welcome to the Prop Report presented by No House Advantage! For those new to the site, NHA is a daily fantasy sports (DFS) app that offers prop-based contests across multiple sports. Simply pick your five favorite player props for a given slate, rank them five (most confident) through one (least confident) and receive those points for each prop that hits. The best part? Instead of facing a house advantage on props like you would with a sportsbook, No House Advantage has purely peer-to-peer contests with big cash prizes. Sign up here or download the app from the App Store to get started. I’m going to give you the three NBA picks I have my eye on for you to utilize in your three-, four- and five-point confidence slots for Thursday’s Celtics – Heat game.
Ben’s Bet of the Day
Awesemo’s sports betting expert Ben Rasa pours over the day’s betting lines and breaks down the best bet of the day for you to build your sports betting card around.
NBA Picks + Prop Bets | No House Advantage | Sept. 17
Kemba Walker — OVER 4.5 Assists
We hammered this prop on our way to a 3-0 day on Tuesday. With the number staying stagnant at 4.5, I see no reason not to go back to well. Walker had a rough go of it in Game 1 but was second in usage for Boston at 28.6% with a 23.4% assist rate. He may be ice cold from the field, but he’s staying involved, active and on the floor for 40-plus minutes a night. I’ll keep riding with this prop until the number inflates, and suggest you do the same.
Jae Crowder — OVER 1.5 3-Pointers Made
I was delighted to see Crowder listed for the first time on No House Advantage and am equally-ecstatic that there’s a +EV prop to fire on him. Crowder has been Mr. Consistency for us DFS folk during these playoffs, playing minutes well into the 30s every night and constantly producing, especially from distance. In the Heat’s past five playoff games, Crowder is averaging a whopping 10.6 3-point attempts per game and converting them at a 45% clip. Barring a catastrophic shooting performance, this feels like an easy over based on volume alone.
Jaylen Brown — OVER 19.5 Points
If the Celtics are going to advance to the NBA Finals for the first time since 2010, look for Brown to be more involved going forward. Widely considered to be the No. 2 offensive option in Brad Stevens’ scheme, Brown was down to fourth for the Celtics on Tuesday in both usage rate (17.8%) and field goal attempts (14). Both numbers are on the low end for Brown, who currently boasts a 24.3% usage rate and 17 field goal attempts per game during these playoffs. It’s not like he didn’t perform adequately on Tuesday, but I expect even more involvement from him here in Game 2. That should translate to more points, making this another prop I’m all in on for tonight.
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