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NHL Betting Picks: Rangers vs. Devils | March 4
The Rangers enter this game off a 3-2 win over Buffalo. They are 4-2 over their last six games and sixth in the Eastern Division, 6 points out of a playoff position. New York has had struggles on offense up to this point and is averaging just 2.7 goals per game, compared to 3.1 last year. Considering they rank 27th in power-play efficiency heading into this game, their goal output actually isn’t terrible. What has really hurt them in 2021 is the out-of-the-blue loss of Artemi Panarin (personal) and the complete lack of scoring by Mika Zibanejad, who enters this game with just 2 goals in 20 games after scoring 71 the last two seasons. His puck luck around the net has become almost comically bad at this point, and the Rangers are certainly suffering a bit from it. Their goalies have started to play more consistently, and Igor Shesterkin (tonight’s likely starter) has posted a save percentage of .920 in seven of his last nine starts.
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Best Bet: Rangers Moneyline (-115) — William Hill
This game sets up as two teams heading in opposite directions. Both are struggling in the standings, but one seems to be turning things around of late, while the other may in fact be as bad (or worse) than their current record indicates. New York’s offense gets a small jolt in its bottom six from the return of Filip Chytil, and they enter this game averaging 3.33 goals per game over their last six. The Devils won the first two games against the Rangers this year, but over the last six years neither team has completed a sweep of the season series. The bottom line here is that while these teams still look somewhat similar on paper, New Jersey’s lineup without Hischier in it doesn’t provide enough pop to warrant them not being bigger underdogs in this spot. Throw in a Rangers team that is excelling on the penalty kill, is getting consistent goaltending and is overdue for a Zibanejad breakout game (+138 to score a goal here on DraftKings, via OddsShopper), and the -115 moneyline on the Rangers here sticks out as a solid NHL betting pick for tonight.
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Bonus: Canucks vs. Maple Leafs Under 6.5 goals (+100) — Sugarhouse
While the Canucks started the year horribly, they have at least looked respectable of late and come in having allowed just 2.71 goals against over their last seven games. Vancouver has limited the shots against over their last handful of starts but have also found solid goaltending with Thatcher Demko (who should start here). He enters this game having posted save percentages of .939 or better in three of his last four starts, with his last being a 27-save shutout win against Winnipeg. Toronto is also getting solid goaltending from three different goalies and has been dominating weaker Western opponents, allowing just 2 goals in their last five games. The under in this matchup is 9-1 over the last 10 meetings, and Toronto has hit the under in four of their last five games as well. I don’t mind targeting Vancouver as an underdog bet here, but the under is slightly preferred given the Canucks’ improvements and the trends.
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