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NFL Futures Bets + NFL Odds: Green Bay Packers 2020 Over/Under Win Total 8.5 | NFL Picks

Dan Vasta

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The Awesemo content hub: one-stop shop for Week 3 NFL DFS Picks on DraftKings + FanDuel, including videos, podcasts, articles and more!

The 2020 NFL season is coming in hot, which means your betting card for the season needs a double-check. We’re going to be going over a copious amount of NFL futures bets, NFL odds, NFL betting picks and NFL predictions for the 2020 campaign. Sportsbooks have released win totals for every team, and we’re going to examine strengths, weaknesses, schedules and make predictions on the over/under. Right now, we’re looking at the Green Bay Packers.

The Packers had a fairly quiet offseason due to the moves they did not make. Jordan Love out of Utah State was drafted as their top pick despite leading the FBS in interceptions. His near future doesn’t look so bright in terms of playing time with legendary signal-caller Aaron Rodgers still at the helm. Perhaps Rodgers will get run out of town, but we will have to see it to believe it. This was one of the best draft classes we have seen on paper in terms of talent at the wide receiver position. And yet they chose literally zero wideouts. They are hoping A.J. Dillon can provide good depth behind starting back Aaron Jones, but their win total suggests this team is going to regress in 2020.

The schedule is abysmal and most sportsbooks have Green Bay at just 8.5 or nine wins in 2020. The juice is on the under, which means the folks in the desert prefer you to take the over. It will be quite difficult to come even close to the 13 wins they had last season. The under has solid value as an NFL betting pick since there is a strong chance that the Packers will have a losing record in the first two months. Their current preseason win projection would be the lowest going all the way back to 2008 (8.5).


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NFL Betting Picks + NFL Futures | NFL Odds + NFL Predictions

Strengths

The star talent is there for Green Bay to at least have a prayer of returning to the NFC title game. Rodgers to Davante Adams is a thing of beauty to watch. Jones was a touchdown machine last season. His 19 total touchdowns was tied among all backs and receivers for the most in the NFL (Christian McCaffrey). The offensive line is solid enough to allow Rodgers to buy time in the passing game. The depth is getting even better in the backfield with Dillon primed and ready to go behind Jones. 

Weaknesses

Just re-watch the two games against the 49ers, and it won’t take a rocket scientist to discover that the run defense is an issue. Kenny Clark got paid over the offseason, and both Za’Darius Smith and Preston Smith are very good players. The front seven still has major concerns, however. The defensive line is not creating much pressure, and that will not allow them to reach their lofty expectations in 2020. The defending NFC North champs won so many one-score games last year (8-1). Regression is one of Green Bay’s biggest enemies this season, and it will be tough to be above the .500 benchmark if they manage to play in as many. 

Schedule

This is one of the toughest schedules in the NFL in the early going.  Rodgers getting benched should never be a thing right now, but this is one of the most interesting teams in the NFL. Love is not ready to play just yet after leading the FBS in picks a season ago, but Rodgers is going to need his role players to step up. I foresee a losing record in their first eight games. A 5-3 start would likely ensure them a postseason trip, but anything less will put them right on the fence. In fact, they have five brutal road trips before Thanksgiving. Minnesota, New Orleans, Tampa Bay, Houston and San Francisco could all be favored over Green Bay. Throw in a tough home game on Monday Night Football against Atlanta and a home date with the Vikings, and there are hardly any favorable matchups early on. 

Prediction

This team was very fortunate in many games where the offense could not get much going last season. The role players are going to need to significantly improve if they expect to take that next step or even go deep in the postseason. Allen Lazard and Marquez Valdes-Scantling may both need to take that step developing as young pass catchers. The field truly lacks proven elite speed and big-play ability. Average offenses in the NFL cannot consistently score touchdowns on long drives, so more home runs in the ground or pass game are required. The division is winnable, but I see this team regressing in 2020. I drank the Packer juice last season, and it certainly was a great ride, but there will be bumps in the road in 2020.

I am selling this Green Bay NFL futures bet and going under on OddsShopper’s win total set at 8.5. The over and under are both set with NFL odds at -137, which is more than fine. I would sell Green Bay winning this division and making the playoffs as well. Certainly this division is there for the taking as it may just take nine wins to win the NFC North. However, the issues are glaring against the run on defense and this offense would need Rodgers to turn back the clock five-plus seasons. The talent is respectable, but the schedule is an absolute gauntlet.


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