NFL Best Bets: Divisional Round Sunday Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs

NFL Best Bets & Today for Divisional Round

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Sunday, Jan. 23, 2022

Time: 6:30 p.m. EST

Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium— Kansas City, MO

Coverage: CBS

Bills vs. Chiefs Betting NFL Picks + Odds Shopping

Using Awesemo’s OddsShopper tool, we can easily compare the NFL odds for Bills vs. Chiefs betting across the major sportsbooks. Make sure to check out the OddsShopper tool yourself to get the most up-to-date odds.

Bills vs. Chiefs NFL Betting Trends

Buffalo is 10-6-2 against the spread this season.
The over is 9-9 for the Bills this season.
Kansas City is 9-9 against the spread this season.
The over is 11-7 for the Chiefs this season.

Bills vs. Chiefs Betting Stats

Buffalo is averaging 28.4 points per game this season (3rd).
The Bills are allowing 17.0 points per game this season (1st).
Kansas City is averaging 28.2 points per game this season (4th).
The Chiefs are allowing 21.4 points per game this season (8th).

Bills vs. Chiefs Best Bets

BUF Bills vs. KC Chiefs Total
Projected ROI – 2%, Projected Win – 54%
DraftKings: -105 u54

A pair of top-five offenses facing off against two top-10 defenses is what you expect in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs. These teams have played over the total in 20 of 36 games on the season and their Week 5, 38-20 meeting nearly pushed over 60 points. However, since November, Kansas City has allowed 16.5 points per game while Buffalo’s allowed 15.4 points over their last five games. Each offense is capable of putting up points in a hurry but their defenses have been strong points in the latter half of the season. Aligning with the under projections on several key offensive player props, this game total projects more as a regular season shootout than a grind it out playoff Divisional game and is the most rewarding game bet available.

Devin Singletary Rushing Yards
Projected ROI – 40%, Projected Win – 74%
DraftKings: -110 ; u60.5

The third-year back out of FAU has been hot over the last five weeks with eight touchdowns on 103 touches. He’s taken over the Bills’ backfield playing nearly 80% of snaps over this span. Singletary has gone over 81 rushing yards in four of the last five games while averaging 4.4 yards per rush attempt. The Bills have passed on 59% of plays this season but over the last three this has dropped to 48% which correlates with Singletary’s boost in usage. Kansas City has allowed 109.3 rushing yards over the last four games but have allowed only two rushers to surpass a total of 61 rushing yards in the process. Singletary has captured Buffalo’s backfield but a lot of his usage has come with a lead which will unlikely be the case for this matchup.

Patrick Mahomes Completions
Projected ROI -4%, Projected Win – 56%
BetMGM: +100; u25.5
Caesars: -110 ; u25.5

Facing the top defensive unit in the NFL in nearly all statistical measures presents enough reasoning to consider the under on this prop. Buffalo has allowed a league-best 163.0 pass yards per game while opposing quarterbacks average a league-worst 17.8 completions per game on the season and only 14.7 completions over the last three games. Mahomes has surpassed 26 completions in the last three games but recently missed this prop in four of the five games prior. This prop correlates positively with the under game total bet as attacking the Bills via the ground may yield better results than testing the NFL’s best pass defense.

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