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NFL Best Bets, Picks & Predictions Today for Sunday’s Divisional Playoff Round

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This article will look at the seven best NFL bets for Sunday’s Divisional playoff round. The Los Angeles Rams and Tampa Bay Buccaneers will kick off the day’s action at 3:00 p.m. (ET) on NBC. Meanwhile, the Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs will close out the evening on CBS at 6:00 p.m. (ET).

Using the Awesemo NFL Betting Props Tool, bettors can utilize it to maximize their profits and see which bets have the highest expected return on investment. Also, bettors can use OddsShopper to find which sportsbooks are offering the best prices for these prop bets. Here are the best NFL bets for Saturday’s Divisional Round Playoff matchups.

Best NFL Bets & Divisional Round Predictions (Sunday)

Matthew Stafford Over 277.50 Passing Yards

The big question is can Stafford avoid the big mistake(s), and if he does, a big day is possible. Stafford has a big arm, but accuracy and decision-making is not his strong suit. He ranked No. 1 in touchdown passes and finished in the top-10 of the NFL in attempts, completions, yards, and completions but was also No. 1 in interceptions. During the regular season, Stafford averaged 287.4 yards through the air with a 67.2% completion percentage and 41 touchdowns and 17 interceptions.

Stafford had a ho-hum Wild Card game as the Rams got off to a quick start, and they had their running game rolling. Stafford completed 13 of 17 passes for 207 yards and two touchdowns while adding 22 yards and another score on the ground. He is projected for 298.10 passing yards in a fantastic matchup. Tampa Bay’s pass defense ranked 21st in the league as they allowed the most completions (443), including the fourth most completions to wide receivers. The Buccaneers allowed 255.7 passing yards a game with Dak Prescott along with Josh Allen, Matt Ryan, and Stafford had big games against them this year. Stafford completed 71% of his passes (27-38) for 343 and four touchdown earlier this year against the Bucs and averages over 275 passing yards in six career starts against them. OddsShopper gives the over a 62% chance of hitting with an expected ROI of 16%.

Demarcus Robinson Under 25.50 Receiving Yards

Robinson has been inconsistent throughout his career and had a disappointing year this season. Granted, Robinson is coming off a season-best performance against the Steelers with four catches for 76 yards. However, it was just the fourth time he had more than two receptions and 25 receiving yards in a game this season.

Robinson ranks sixth on the Chiefs in targets (2.5) per game despite starting 10 games and being on the field the second-most snaps (58.89%) amongst the team’s wide receivers. He was on the field just 53% of the snaps in the Wild Card game. Robinson is projected for 17.7 receiving yards in an extremely tough matchup. Robinson averages  1.7 receptions and 18.8 receiving yards on the year while hauling on 63% of the throws coming his way. Moreover, Buffalo has the No. 1 pass defense in the NFL, and the Bills have allowed just 10.35 receptions and a league-low 113.2 receiving yards to opposing wide receivers. Last week, the Bills held the Patriots to 232 yards through the air, with 135 yards going to wide receivers as Mac Jones connected with his wideouts on 14 of 22 (66.3%) of his throws. The Pats’ top two wide receivers, Kendrick Bourne and Jakobi Myers, accounted for 13 of the team’s catches. OddsShoppers gives the under a 67% chance of hitting with an expected ROI of 25%.

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Travis Kelce Under 70.50 Receiving Yards

Who wins the Kelce versus the Bills linebackers/safeties may ultimately decide whether the Kansas City or Buffalo advance to the AFC championship game. Kelce is the Chiefs’ third most important offensive player, and he is absolutely terrific. He pulled down 5 of 7 targets for 108 yards last week against the Steelers and was a member of the 1,000-yard receiving club for the sixth year. However, he turned in his worst regular season in four years as he averaged 5.1 catches for 70.63 yards as he had a career-high 10 drops. Kelce has recorded eight games of at least 74 receiving yards though just two of those have come in his last six appearances.

Buffalo has been terrific defending tight ends this year. The Bills allowed the second-fewest receptions to opposing tight ends this year (3.1 per game) as they have permitted just a 58.6% completion rate to them this year. They are giving up 36.11 receiving yards to opposing tight ends and held the Patriots’ Hunter Henry to one reception on four targets for 30 yards last week.

Kelce, projected for 65.04 receiving yards, recorded six catches for 57 yards earlier this year against Buffalo. Moreover, he has surpassed the 70-yard mark once (last year’s playoff game) in six career games versus the Bills. OddsShopper gives the under a 62% chance of hitting with an expected ROI of 16%.


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Emmanuel Sanders Over 25.50 Receiving Yards

The Bills brought in Sanders to give Josh Allen a quality compliment to Stefon Diggs, with apologies to Cole Beasley. While Sanders has not lived up to expectations, he is still a big-play receiver and has a good matchup against the Chiefs. He averaged three catches and a career-high 14.9 yards per reception during the regular season. Sanders had two receptions for 30 yards in last week’s wildcard game and has had good success against Kansas City throughout his career, including recording 54 receiving yards against them earlier this year. He is projected for 33.08 receiving yards, with OddsShopper giving the over a 59% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 10%.

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