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NFL Best Bets & Picks Today for Week 17

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The news cycle for the NFL is spinning faster than ever, with players being given late injury designations and being placed in COVID protocols. Though keeping up with the breaking news can be difficult, it does provide opportunities to take advantage of in the NFL betting markets. With only two weeks remaining in the regular season, the time is now to exploit the inefficiencies in the markets and find some of the best NFL bets and picks for Week 17.

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NFL Best Bets & Picks Today for Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers

Date: Sunday, Jan. 2, 2022
Time: 8:20 p.m. EST
Venue: Lambeau Field — Green Bay, Wis.
Coverage: NBC

Vikings vs. Packers Betting NFL Picks + Odds Shopping

Using Awesemo’s OddsShopper tool, we can easily compare the NFL odds for Vikings vs. Packers betting across the major sportsbooks. Make sure to check out the OddsShopper tool yourself to get the most up-to-date odds.

Vikings vs. Packers NFL Betting Trends

  • Minnesota is 8-7 against the spread this season.
  • The over is 9-6 for the Vikings this season.
  • Green Bay is 11-4 against the spread this season.
  • The under is 9-6 for the Packers this season.

Vikings vs. Packers Betting Stats

  • Minnesota is averaging 25.6 points per game this season (12th).
  • Minnesota is allowing 24.8 points per game this season (23rd).
  • Green Bay is averaging 25.5 points per game this season (13th).
  • Green Bay is allowing 21.6 points per game this season (13th).

Vikings Moneyline

Projected ROI: 62%, Projected Win: 33%
DraftKings: +575
FanDuel: +570

With the best-projected ROI on the slate, Minnesota enters Week 17 as 13-point underdogs and will be without Kirk Cousins. The Vikings have given Matt LaFleur troubles over his tenure, winning the last two meetings, and they need this one to keep their playoff hopes alive. A cold, gritty game will suit the Vikings’ run-heavy approach, and they will need their defense to hold Aaron Rodgers in check to give Sean Mannion a chance. Green Bay’s run defense has allowed 5.8 yards per carry to running backs over the last five games and will need to improve in that front if they hope to contain one of the best backs in the game. Dalvin Cook has 1,067 yards on the ground this season, averaging 4.7 yards per carry while tacking on six touchdowns. He has contributed another 221 receiving yards which could present an issue for the Packers who have allowed another 37.2 receiving yards to running backs over the last five weeks.

Green Bay will be without Jaire Alexander and their two starting offensive tackles (Billy Turner and David Bakhtiari) for at least another game despite Alexander and Bakhtiari returning from the injured reserve list this week. Despite missing Cousins, this is as good of a situation as the Vikings could ask for with facing the Packers still without several of their best players.

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Vikings Spread

Projected ROI: 9%, Projected Win: 60%
DraftKings: -105 ; +13.5

While the moneyline may seem overwhelming with Sean Mannion at the helm, the spread is rather enticing. All of Minnesota’s eight losses have been within a single possession and six of the last seven matchups between these teams have been decided by single digits with one being decided by just under this line at 13 points. Mannion will make his third career start, but this Packers defense has struggled since their Week 11 shutout. In the last five games, they have allowed an average of 28.8 points to their opponent while surrendering 374 total yards per game as well.

Point Spread

Projected ROI: 0%, Projected Win: 52%
DraftKings: -110 ; Over 42

OddsShopper also likes the ROI of the over on the spread in this matchup. Green Bay has pushed over in four of their last five despite playing under the spread for the beginning of the season. Minnesota has crushed overs this season with seven of their last 10 and 9-6 overall. This is the lowest total of the season for either team, and with the recent success of overs it feels like a safe play with solid returns. Minnesota is averaging 25.6 points per game this season while allowing 24.8. Meanwhile, Green Bay scores 25.5 points per game while allowing 21.6 to their opponent.


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Las Vegas Raiders vs. Indianapolis Colts

Date: Sunday, Jan. 2, 2022
Time: 1:00 p.m. EST
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium — Indianapolis, IN
Coverage: FOX

Raiders vs. Colts Betting NFL Picks + Odds Shopping

Using Awesemo’s OddsShopper tool, we can easily compare the NFL odds for Raiders vs. Colts betting across the major sportsbooks. Make sure to check out OddsShopper yourself to get the most up-to-date odds.

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Raiders vs. Colts NFL Betting Trends

  • Las Vegas is 6-9 against the spread this season.
  • The under is 8-7 for the Raiders this season.
  • Indianapolis is 10-5 against the spread this season.
  • The over is 8-7 for the Colts this season.

Raiders vs. Colts Betting Stats

  • Las Vegas is averaging 21.1 points per game this season (17th).
  • The Raiders are allowing 25.8 points per game this season (26th).
  • Indianapolis is averaging 28.0 points per game this season (5th).
  • The Colts are allowing 21.1 points per game this season (11th).

Raiders vs. Colts Best Bets

Raiders Moneyline

Projected ROI: 24%, Projected Win: 41%
FanDuel: +260

Projected for the sixth-best ROI on the slate, Las Vegas enters this matchup with the mission of winning the last two games of the season to secure their second playoff berth in the last 19 years. Indianapolis just needs to win to get in. The Raiders are 3-2 over the last five games and have won two straight on dominant defensive performances. The Colts are 8-2 over the last 10 games and have strung together a recent three-game win streak of their own thanks to a ground and pound approach coupled with stifling defense. Carson Wentz is questionable due to a positive COVID test, but the updated protocols do not guarantee him out for Sunday. Indianapolis will welcome the return of stars Darius Leonard and Quenton Nelson, fortifying their winning identity.

Las Vegas has won with an improved run defense against solid rushing attacks in Cleveland and Denver in back-to-back weeks. The Raiders held Nick Chubb to under 100 yards on less than 4.0 yards per rush and contained Denver’s two-headed backfield to 18 total yards last week. Their offense has struggled to score over the last four games with 17 or fewer points in each contest but their defense is playing inspired football. Derek Carr must limit his turnovers against a Colts defense with the second-most takeaways (31) in the NFL.

Raiders Spread

Projected ROI: 7%, Projected Win: 58%
FanDuel: -105 ; +7

If moneyline feels too risky, the value is still good betting Raiders spread. Las Vegas has seen four of their last five games be decided by between two and four points and recently, their defense has shown the formula to slowing this Colts attack. Over the last five games, the Raiders allowed 75 rushing yards to opposing backs on 3.6 yards per rush. Josh Jacobs was able to tie a career-high in rushing yards (129) while evading eight tackles in the process, a season-best. If Las Vegas is able to contain their third potent rushing attack they will give themselves the chance to decide their playoff fate in a home contest against the Los Angeles Chargers. Being alert to Carson Wentz’s status ahead of game time could pay off.


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