They say parlays are not a profitable endeavor over the long-term period. However, those people never used our tools to pick three underdog winners outright and cash in on a maximum profit. In this article, we will do just that and pick three underdog outright winners in Week 13 of the NFL season using the Awesemo NFL Sports Betting Model located on the website.
Bet: $25 | To Win: $825
Last week, the Pittsburgh Steelers were pounded by the score of 41-10 at the hands of the Cincinnati Bengals. So, wouldn’t it be on-brand for this new decade to have a team lose by 31 points one week and then come back to beat the No. 1 seed in the AFC the next? That’s exactly what Pittsburgh will try to do on Sunday.
According to Awesemo’s NFL Sports Betting Model, a Steelers outright win has a 13% expected rate of return on investment, making it one of the best chances for an underdog on the Week 13 slate. The key to victory here for the Steelers is passing the football since the Baltimore Ravens allow the most passing yards per attempt and rank 24th in pass defense DVOA. Pittsburgh did sweep the season series from Baltimore last year and that’s the second time that has happened in the last four seasons.
Most of us are wondering when the Seattle Seahawks of old will finally emerge back to the surface. Even the return of Russell Wilson hasn’t inspired much hope, as Seattle is 0-3 since returning a few weeks ago. In fact, up until Wilson’s injury, the team was in a stretch of three losses in four games.
Things are expected to turn around this week, according to Awesemo’s NFL Sports Betting Model. A Seahawks outright win has a 17.5% rate of return on investment, making them the second-best underdog to bet on the moneyline this week. Seattle has won three straight meetings against San Francisco 49ers and 16 of the last 19, so it’s nice to get plus-odds with that level of previous success.
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The last leg of our Dog Day Parlay will certainly be the toughest, with the Denver Broncos projected to be a strong bet against the Kansas City Chiefs. According to Awesemo’s NFL Sports Betting Model, the Denver Broncos have a 46.7% expected rate of return on investment. This is the best percentage of the week by a country mile, and we might actually have something here. After all, Broncos quarterback Teddy Bridgewater has covered just under 70% of the games he’s started in his career. Of course, we’re looking for the outright win here against the Chiefs, but at least the Broncos should be in range to strike.
It has been a downtrodden year for the Chiefs, who are following the script of teams struggling in the season after losing the Super Bowl. Aside from that one-week outburst against the Las Vegas Raiders, we haven’t seen many impressive performances strung together by Kansas City. In fact, the Chiefs have now scored 20 points or fewer in four of their last five games.
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Check out the AwesemoOdds home page for more sports betting content, including more picks and predictions.
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