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NFL Futures Bets + NFL Odds: 2020 Atlanta Falcons Over/Under Win Total 7.5 | NFL Picks

Dan Vasta

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The 2020 NFL season is coming in hot, which means your betting card for the season needs a double-check. We’re going to be going over a copious amount of NFL futures bets, NFL odds, NFL betting picks and NFL predictions for the 2020 campaign. Sportsbooks have released win totals for every team, and we’re going to examine strengths, weaknesses, schedules and make predictions on the over/under. Right now, we’re looking at the Atlanta Falcons.

Will the Falcons be for real in 2020? They have teased us for many seasons and have come awfully close a few times to either getting to or winning the Super Bowl in the last two decades. They are 24-24 since that tough loss to the Patriots. Their win total suggests that they are right on the fence from competing in the loaded NFC. The conference might just be the deepest we have ever seen in recent memory.

The experts have the NFL odds fairly even on both the over and under. The money is going to the under, and a lot of that is due to the health of their brand new star running back Todd Gurley. The other reason is the division they are playing in. The South could be the top division in all of football, and the defense suggests it could be a long season for Atlanta when they go up against the likes of Tom Brady and Drew Brees. The pickup of tight end Hayden Hurst should be a major plus after losing Austin Hooper. Another solid target for Matt Ryan is never a bad idea. The talent level on that side of the ball is very capable, so I wouldn’t shy away from taking the over for this pick. 


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NFL Betting Picks + NFL Futures | NFL Odds + NFL Predictions

Strengths

This is an offensive juggernaut that can lead the NFL in a few categories. Ryan can lead the NFL in passing attempts and yards. The weapons this team has are simply amazing. Julio Jones is truly remarkable and is a threat for 1,500-plus again. Calvin Ridley is a future star and is ready for another season of double-digit scores. Throw in a solid tight end in Hurst, and this team really just needs its offensive line to avoid being a disaster. Gurley truly is the wild card. He has been a respectable pass catcher over the years, but certainly his explosiveness took a huge hit last season with the arthritis he has in his knees. Forget about his All-Pro season from 2018; can he just return to being a reliable starter? If he can make the opposition respect his play whenever he is out on the field, this offense could hang with all South foes. 

Weaknesses

If only this was arena football where playing championship defense was not important. The Falcons have had major issues in all facets on the defensive side of the ball. The secondary has been getting torched for a while now. They keep reaching for players in the draft because of their troubles, and they have not been able to improve on their lack of a pass rush either. This squad does not need to become the 1985 Bears defense, but they cannot be abysmal at everything they do defensively. The injury bug has been an absolute albatross for the franchise since their Super Bowl loss to the Patriots. If they can just stay healthy, improvements will be made. Getting off the field and getting the ball to Matt Ryan is the key. This isn’t rocket science, but getting dominated in the trenches needs to be avoided at all costs. This team has been bad in both areas for a while. 

Schedule

The Falcons have played better at home in their own dome, and the hope is they can do such. The biggest reason they better win some games at home is because their road schedule is one of the toughest in the NFL. Their eight road games this season have a bevy of playoff potentials that could be costly to end the season. To end with the Buccaneers twice and taking on the Chiefs is an absolute nightmare. I foresee this team being right there for a postseason berth, but they will need to win two of those final three games more than likely. This is a gauntlet and a half for Atlanta. 

Prediction

The NFL future 7.5-win total for the Falcons is their lowest since 2016 when it was set at just seven wins. Atlanta has to protect home turf if they want any shot to get to the postseason. Just hitting the over will be difficult with their schedule. I am banking on a very good season from Ryan if his weapons can stay healthy. Jones, Ridley, Hurst and Gurley stack up with any quartet of skill players out there. I do not foresee this team breaking through and reaching the playoffs, but I do like the over here. There is hardly any juice on the over total in most sportsbooks, and some outlets have it at plus money. The Falcons are about as inconsistent as it gets, but the talent is there with low expectations. Not many are picking Atlanta to even appear in the postseason, so you take the over on their win total and look for a solid season in a division that could be the best in all of football.


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