The current NFL futures betting market price suggests the Chicago Bears are on the cusp of reaching the postseason, as most sportsbooks have them at eight wins — with not much juice involved. In fact, some books have the Bears at +110 NFL odds for the over, meaning they want you to take the Bears over on their eight projected wins. There is more juice on taking the under, at least when it is set at eight wins compared to seven or 7.5. The majority of the books have the Bears set at eight wins currently, thus making it one of the more intriguing NFL picks for the 2020 season. Chicago hasn’t had a projected 10-plus win total since 2007, and they have hit the under on their win totals in six of the last seven seasons.
After finishing at 8-8, the Chicago Bears are trying to get over the hurdle they could not climb in 2019. They would love to return to where they were at the end of the 2018 regular season. Destined for a deep postseason run, they are looking for a more consistent offense. Nick Foles is going to battle it out until perhaps opening day with Mitchell Trubisky. Newly acquired tight end Jimmy Graham and linebacker Robert Quinn should bring more confidence to positions that took a step back last season. Losing Leonard Floyd at linebacker likely won’t be tough to overcome, so this team should have a chance to contend for the postseason.
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NFL Futures Bets + NFL Odds: Chicago Bears 2020 Over/Under Win Total
NFL Picks: Chicago Bears Strengths
The Bears have one of the better defenses on paper entering 2020. Many said this entering last season, and we saw a major drop-off as expected due to the lofty expectations. Plus, the outrageous amount of turnovers they forced in 2018 (36, led NFL) were going to fall off a cliff in 2019, and it certainly did (19, tied-22nd in NFL). Even so, Khalil Mack and Akiem Hicks should be relentless up front.
The linebackers are fairly stacked as well with Danny Trevathan, Roquan Smith and newly acquired pass rusher Robert Quinn. Eddie Jackson is also one of the better safeties in the NFL. The talent is there, but the key could simply be health. If the injury bug does not hit, they should be able to get back to being one of the true dominant defenses in the NFL.
Offensive woes in Chicago has been an issue for many years. This is a fairly glaring weakness that the Bears will need to improve upon if they expect to make the playoffs. They were bottom four in the NFL in both points per game and yards per game in 2019. The offensive line was abysmal, but somebody will have to step up under center. Trubisky or Foles are certainly capable of making this an improved offense from last year, but that isn’t saying much.
I would keep my eye on whether or not David Montgomery is getting room to run downhill. He was getting obliterated the second he was given the ball last year, putting even more pressure on the passing attack to consistently play behind the sticks. The ground game could feature more Cordarrelle Patterson with Montgomery already hurt entering the season. Hopefully the ground game will not suffer too much.
The first seven games on the schedule should not be impossible, as there are zero playoff teams from a year ago on the slate. The bad news is that Atlanta, Tampa Bay and Indianapolis should all be much better from a year ago. Playing only one divisional game in that time span (opener at Detroit) should be a good test to see where they are as a team. In a year of the unknown, the Bears could stack up a decent amount of wins that will keep them alive in the playoff hunt. Overall, their chances of hitting the over on eight wins in the NFL betting market will likely come down to those last seven games since it features five divisional games.
The Bears’ current NFL odds and most NFL futures are +155 to reach the playoffs and -210 to miss the playoffs (entering September). They should have a decent shot if they don’t stumble out of the gates. The Bears’ win total has jumped from seven or so wins to now eight. For the over to hit, winning close games that come down to the wire will be no easy task. I feel the Bears could be at a disadvantage having to play the AFC South.
Throw in the Lions twice, and there is a real chance they just need to play 5-8 or 6-7 in the rest of their slate to get to nine wins. The opposition surely will be ready to take on the Bears in November, as there could be four straight playoff foes. That will be a challenge for them to keep up offensively.
I like their chances to stay in the hunt all season, but for this NFL futures bet, I am leaning on the under at the moment with Montgomery potentially not being fully healthy entering the season. They cannot rely on Patterson and Tarik Cohen to lead them to the Promised Land. I will sell the NFL odds of the Bears hitting the over, but I believe this will come down to their final game against Green Bay.
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