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Top 2021 NFL Division Winner Futures Bets: Expert Betting Picks, Odds & Predictions | Chiefs, Cowboys & Packers




With the NFL season kicking off on Thursday Night Football, now is the last chance to place many of the NFL betting futures. A hectic offseason, filled with salary cap manipulation and player movement, is pointing to an exciting NFL season, and even more exciting NFL betting predictions.

Every year, some of the more popular NFL betting futures are division winner picks. While some picks are obvious, other divisions look to be a roll of the dice, and the odds reflect this. However, the obvious division picks do not need to be ignored, because some sportsbooks allow for division winner parlays, making them worth putting money on.

Let’s go over some of the best NFL betting division winner picks, using the new Awesemo NFL futures tool to show the win probability of each pick.

NFL Futures Bets: Division Winner Betting Odds, Picks & ROI

AFC West: Kansas City Chiefs -250 (64% Win Odds)

After winning the Super Bowl, the Chiefs were embarrassed in last season’s Super Bowl. Suddenly, this team has something to prove again. However, despite them seeming uninterested most of last regular season, the Chiefs still went 14-2, which was the best record in the NFL. During the offseason Kansas City fully rebuilt the offensive line, which should help keep Patrick Mahomes upright when facing Joey Bosa or Von Miller. If their MVP is healthy and playing, there is not another team in the AFC West that can match the firepower the Chiefs possess.

NFC South: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -200 (62% Win Odds)

The NFC South projection is clear. The Saints were their biggest competition. However, after the movement that needed to take place to get under the salary cap, the Saints look like a shell of themselves. Losing out on true home games, and the Saints look like they do not have a shot to win the division. The Buccaneers, on the other hand, somehow return all 22 starters from their Super Bowl team. On Thursday, it will be the first true home Tampa crowd Tom Brady and this version of the Buccaneers will get to play for. With the added game this season, 17-0 seems like a real possibility, which gives Brady another thing to play for. Motivation should not be an issue for this Bucs team.

NFC North: Green Bay Packers -160 (61% Win Odds)

Aaron Rodgers is back in Green Bay for one “last dance.” After winning 13 games in back-to-back seasons, there’s little reason to think this team falls off. Rodgers is best quarterback in the league, playing with Davante Adams, who happens to be the league’s best wide receiver. The running game is strong, which makes the play-action looks lethal. The defense will have its issues under Joe Barry, but it is nothing that will cost them the division.

The Chicago Bears are starting Andy Dalton as a human sacrifice to the Rams, since their offensive line is that bad. The Detroit Lions may have the least talented roster in the NFL. Finally, the Minnesota Vikings think they can repair their defense by signing Patrick Peterson and Bashaud Breeland to be their starting cornerbacks, which will not work. Add in the fact that their mediocre quarterback will be out 10 days every time there is a COVID scare, and there does not seem to be a legitimate threat to the Packers in the NFC North.

AFC East: Buffalo Bills -150 (56% Win Odds)

It is a new era in the AFC East. Led by Josh Allen, the Bills won the division last season. Allen and the team have made notable steps forward in each of the past three seasons. Should this upward trajectory continue, the Bills will have much greater goals than simply winning the division.

Still, it is worth breaking down the division here. Allen is suddenly the veteran quarterback in the division, with two other teams starting rookies and the other being second-year quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. The Bills have the strongest receiving corps in the division, the offense is deep, and the defense should be above average. Their biggest weakness last season was generating a pass rush, but Buffalo is hoping their acquisitions will make them a fully well-rounded team.

AFC North: Baltimore Ravens +115 (46% Win Odds)

The Ravens are not the favorite in the NFL betting odds to win the AFC North, but the Awesemo futures tool is projecting they do just that.

The headlines out of Baltimore this preseason have not been positive, with season-ending injuries to running backs J.K. Dobbins and Justice Hill. With the Ravens being a run-heavy team, these are massive losses. So now Gus Edwards slides in as lead back. While he does not have the name value, Edwards has averaged at least 5 yards per carry in each of his three NFL seasons. The running game should continue to be solid, and their defense is also packed with playmakers. Simply put, this team will go as far as Lamar Jackson can take them.

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If Jackson can progress as a passer, this team is elevated to another level. A respectable passing game forces defenses to play honest instead of selling out against the run. Obviously, this means an improved passing game opens running lanes as well, making this one of the most dangerous units in the league. Of course, it remains to be seen if Jackson can take this step. If he can, watch out for Baltimore.

NFC East: Dallas Cowboys +130 (43% Win Odds)

Obviously, the Cowboys were decimated by injuries last season. The offensive line was nonexistent and Dak Prescott was lost early. This led to the NFC East looking even more pathetic than it should have. It took only seven wins to take the East last year, and it may only take nine to win the division this year. Behind Dak, a healthy offensive line and a loaded group of weapons, the Cowboys can win nine games. If their defense improves at all, which it should, then they will be a team that deserves respect.

AFC South: Indianapolis Colts +115 (40% Win Odds)

After Philip Rivers retired, the Colts opted to give Carson Wentz a second chance in the NFL. They are betting that he can return to MVP-like play. If you believe the Colts are correct in their bet, then they are a great team to bet on. The defense has playmakers at every level. They were top 10 in most categories last season, and there is no reason to believe they drop off. Their main competition in the division, the Titans, had a terrible defense last year, and they should not be expected to be anything more than average in 2021.

The Colts running game, headlined by Jonathan Taylor, will again be very strong. All they need is above average play from the quarterback position to be a playoff team. They may be one trade deadline move for a receiver away from competing for a title, and it may be worth betting on them before they do it.

NFC West: San Francisco 49ers +180 (37% Win Odds)

The NFC West is the most competitive in the league. Last season, the 49ers came in last place, but this was due to the unbelievable number of injuries. The 49ers are now healthy, and they have a backup plan at quarterback in case of injury, in third overall pick Trey Lance. Many forget they were in the Super Bowl last season they were healthy. If they say healthy, San Francisco has the most talent in the division, as well as the best head coach.

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Zach Brunner is the founder of FlurrySports and a featured sports betting and fantasy sports expert for numerous outlets. With an education in business, coaching and history education, he has taken a little bit from all of his experiences to give him a well-rounded, unique point of view in the sports industry. Follow him on Twitter @FantasyFlurry to keep up with other things he is doing.

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