THREE MUST-BET Ja’Marr Chase Super Bowl Prop Bets

With the fifth overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, the Cincinnati Bengals select Ja’Marr Chase. Who knew that moment would be a critical step in the Bengals Cinderella run to Super Bowl 56? All Chase does is win. He won the National Championship with LSU in 2019 and has a chance to win the Super Bowl in his rookie season. Chase is used to playing on the main stage so this game environment will not intimidate him. Much like the big game having all sorts of attention, so too does the NFL prop bets market. This article will go over some of the best Super Bowl prop bets for 2022, focusing on the electrifying Bengals rookie wide receiver — Ja’Marr Chase.

Best Super Bowl 2022 Prop Bets: Ja’Marr Chase, Bengals WR

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Over 78.5 Yards Receiving (-110, FanDuel)

Awesemo Projections 86.9
Expected ROI 10%
Expected Win 58%

Rookie Ja’Marr Chase has had an incredible season. He won the NFL Rookie of the Year award as he ranked in the top four of both receiving yards with 1,455 and touchdowns with 13. The connection he has with Joe Burrow has translated from college to the NFL seamlessly. They connected for 20 touchdowns in college leading the LSU Tigers to a National Championship. We’ll see what they can do against this vaunted Los Angeles Rams defense. They rank fifth in total DVOA and sixth in pass DVOA this season. However, they have allowed 241.7 passing yards per game which ranks 11th-most in the league. Opponents normally need to catch up against the Rams through the air, instead of the ground.

Awesemo projects Chase to have 86.9 receiving yards, making this first prop extremely valuable. He has been very boom or bust this season, but Chase has had 109 or more receiving yards in four out of his last six games including the playoffs. The Bengals have the offensive fire power to keep up with the Rams. During the regular season both teams averaged 27.1 points per game. Even though Chase had the fourth-most receiving yards in the league, he ranked tied for 20th in receptions. He is so explosive that he doesn’t need a high number of receptions to get receiving yards. He ranked third this season in yards after the catch. He can take a slant to the house. This is the best Chase prop on the board.


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Most Receiving Yards (+400, PointsBet)

This prop is similar to the above prop, but more so betting on Chase’s boom outputs. The obvious competitor for this prop is Rams star wide receiver Cooper Kupp who led the league in receiving yards with 114.5 per game. This is a bet based on Chase’s upside. His 266 receiving yards against the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 17 was the most in a game for anyone this season. It ranked 16th-most all time for receiving yards in a game. No other player this season had 200 or more yards in a game. This is just one game. Likely Chase vs. Kupp. I’ll take the value with the young star.

The Bengals also have another very promising up and coming young wide receiver in Tee Higgins. I wouldn’t mind taking a flier on him to lead the game in receiving yards either at +650 on PointsBet. Higgins can take some eyes away from Chase given his 6’4″ size and athletic ability. Kupp will likely be more involved than Chase from a receptions standpoint, but he will also garner a lot of attention from this Bengals defense who leads every team in the playoffs with five turnovers. Chase is a great value at this number given his enormous upside that he brings to the table.

Over 5.5 Receptions (-125, Caesars)

Awesemo Projections 5.5
Expected ROI -14%
Expected Win 48%

This line is extremely close. For reference, Awesemo projects Chase to get exactly 5.5 receptions which is exactly what this prop is at. There is better value on the under on OddsShopper, but keeping the trend of this article taking the over 5.5 receptions is where I will land. Chase has averaged 6.7 receptions and 93 receiving yards in his three games during the playoffs. He is also averaging nine targets per game during that time. When times get tough, Burrow looks to Chase as his security blanket. His targets could reach double-digits, which should give him enough opportunities to get over this receptions prop.

The Rams are allowing 103.2 rushing yards per game which will lead to a more pass heavy game script for the Bengals. Standout cornerback Jalen Ramsey rarely plays shadow coverage anymore and it would be very difficult to do that anyways against the Bengals who have three legit weapons. Despite this coming in at a negative return on investment and a below 50% expected win percentage, this Chase prop fits in very well with his outlook for the Super Bowl.

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