D.K. Metcalf has been making noise on and off the field, which he will embrace among a raucous home field crowd in Seattle against the New Orleans Saints on Monday Night Football. With the new Awesemo NFL Player Props Tool, bettors can now search player props by team and immediately pinpoint the best available odds at recognized sportsbooks. Let’s take a look at the tool’s projections and odds for Week 7 Monday Night Football to lock in the best NFL prop bets on Metcalf and tonight’s top receivers.
D.K. Metcalf Week 7 Monday Night NFL Player Props
D.K. Metcalf Over 58.5 Yards Receiving (-115, DraftKings)
Metcalf has fared well considering Russell Wilson‘s absence, and the NFL Player Props Tool expects that to continue on Monday Night Football. Metcalf has averaged 73.5 yards and 6.2 receptions per game, and the props tool gives the over a 57% expected win rate. With Metcalf projected for 68.8 yards on 4.7 receptions against the Saints, the props tool gives the over a 6% return on investment.
The Saints defense ranks ninth in pass DVOA and has allowed 199.4 yards per game to opposing wide receivers. As the leading producer for Seattle accounting, for 20.4% of the Seahawks’ rushing and yardage, Metcalf is in a position to excel against the Saints. Lock in the over at moderately low house juice.
Marquez Callaway Over 42.5 Yards Receiving (-113, FanDuel)
The New Orleans passing attack has yet to notch a 300-yard game, but the props tool forecasts productivity for Marquez Callaway. Callaway is averaging 44.4 yards per game, while the props tool projects the over for a 61% expected win rate. With Callaway projected for 51.4 yards, the over has a 15% expected return on investment.
Seattle’s defense has been subpar this season, allowing 14.66 receptions to opposing wide receivers and ranking 24th in pass DVOA. Callaway accounts for the second-highest target share and 13.1% of the Saints’ combined yards on offense. Against a Swiss cheese defense allowing 8.58 yards per target to opposing wide receivers, book the over on Callaway.
Tyler Lockett Over 3.5 Receptions (-141, Caesars)
Geno Smith and the Seahawks passing game are still working through some bugs, but the props tool believes Tyler Lockett will catch more than his presumed share. Lockett is averaging 4.5 receptions per game, while the NFL Player Props Tool gives the over a staggering 70% expected win rate. As Lockett is projected for 4.93 receptions on 8.13 targets against the Saints, the props tool gives the over a 19% return on investment.
The Saints are surrendering a collective 15 receptions to opposing wide receivers per game and rank sixth and ninth in defensive pass DVOA against opposing WR1’s and WR2’s, respectively. Lockett is coming off a two-reception dud against the Steelers on the road, but he had a long week to prepare with Smith for tonight’s game. On the other hand, last week was the only game all season in which Lockett has caught fewer than four passes, and the bounce back seems imminent. Snag the over on Lockett’s catches despite the unsettling house juice.
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