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Optimal Betting Picks for Patrick Mahomes Tonight: Week 8 Monday Night Football Prop Bets Giants vs. Chiefs

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Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs are drawing criticism of late and look to right the ship on Monday Night Football against the New York Giants. With the new Awesemo NFL Player Props Tool, bettors can now search player props by team and immediately pinpoint the best available odds at recognized sportsbooks. Let’s take a look at the tool’s projections and odds for Week 8 Monday Night Football to lock in the best NFL prop bets on Mahomes tonight.

Patrick Mahomes Week 8 Monday Night NFL Player Props

Over 19.5 Yards Rushing (-125, PointsBet)

Mahomes has been challenged to throw the ball for smaller gains, but the NFL Player Props Tool projects he will be running it for them on Monday Night Football as well. Mahomes is averaging 31.3 yards per game this season, and the props tool gives the over a 81% win rate. With Mahomes projected for 34.65 yards against the Giants, the over has a 45% expected ROI.

The Giants defense ranks 22nd in run DVOA yet allows just 11.71 yards per game to opposing quarterbacks, although there have been just 21 attempts against them for 3.9 yards per carry. New York ranks 18th in run defense according to Pro Football Focus, and they will also be without Lorenzo Carter in their linebacker corps. Lock in the over on Mahomes’ total at the slight spend up.

Under 302.5 Yards Passing (-113, FanDuel)

Mahomes is averaging 299 yards per game this season, and the props tool gives the under on 302.5 yards a 56% expected win rate. Mahomes is projected for 297.91 yards against the Giants on Monday night, and the props tool projects a 7% expected ROI. New York surrenders 253.71 yards per game to opposing quarterbacks and ranks 16th in pass DVOA. The Giants also allow a 69.7% completion rate and rank rank 23rd in coverage by PFF. On a loftier prop line with a Chiefs team willing to run the ball, take the under on Mahomes’ yards.

Under 26.5 Completions (+100, Caesars)

Mahomes is averaging 26.71 completions per game this season, and the props tool gives the under a 65% expected win rate. He projects for a hair over 25 completions tonight. New York’s defense has allowed 24.42 completions per game, and their lacking run defense could be the weakness for the Chiefs to more easily exploit. Snag the under on Mahomes’ completions at even-money odds.


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Once a man of 12-team teaser parlays and an abundance of season-long fantasy leagues, Chris "TopherSquints" Giordani gradually honed his fascination for sports and plus-money wagers toward Daily Fantasy Sports. A homegrown Awesemo student from the early stages of the site's inception, he became infatuated with the contrarian DFS mindset and eventually combined his passion for writing with Daily Fantasy at the Sports Gambling Podcast's website blog. Currently, Chris Giordani resides in Orange County, California, enjoys binging on stand-up comedy, and long strolls through the DraftKings lobby.

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