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Aaron Rodgers, Kyler Murray Optimal ROI Thursday Night Football Prop Bets: Expert Picks & Predictions for Week 8, Packers vs. Cardinals




Aaron Rodgers will be without Davante Adams and Allen Lazard when the Green Bay Packers head to Arizona to battle Kyler Murray and the Arizona Cardinals. With the new Awesemo NFL Player Props Tool, bettors can now search player props by team and immediately pinpoint the best available odds at recognized sportsbooks. Let’s take a look at the tool’s projections and odds for Week 8 Thursday Night Football to lock in the best NFL prop bets on Rodgers and Murray.

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Week 8 Thursday Night NFL Player Props

Rodgers Under 263.5 Passing Yards (-115, DraftKings)

Rodgers has led the Packers to a 6-1 start, but the NFL Player Props Tool forecasts a quieter night. Rodgers is averaging 244.48 yards per game through seven games, while the props tool gives the under a 62% expected win rate. With Rodgers projected for 253.57 yards, the under has a 16% return on investment. The Packers rank fifth in offensive pass DVOA, and the Cardinals are second in defensive pass DVOA. The Cardinals defense also the second-best coverage grade according to PFF, and they are allowing 201 yards passing per game. Without two of their top pass catchers, the Packers will give a larger workload to Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon. Grab the under on Rodgers’ yards at moderate house juice.

Murray Under 28.5 Yards Rushing (-115, PointsBet)

Murray has been much more of the pocket passer in his third season, and the NFL Player Props Tool projects that will remain the case tonight. Murray is averaging 18.7 yards rushing per game this season, and the props tool gives the over a 72% expected win rate. As Murray is projected for 24.34 yards, the under has a 35% return on investment.

Murray has run for 33.2 fewer yards per game than last season, on 6.14 attempts per game (down two attempts from 2020). The Packers defense has allowed 34 yards per game to opposing quarterbacks, the second most in the league. The Packers have the ninth-ranked pass rush according to PFF, while 70.6% of Murray’s attempts have gone to the outside, and 17 of his 43 attempts have been stuffed at the line of scrimmage. Although Murray has the ability to break for a big run when given the opportunity, the number of weapons now available to Murray all but ensures that he will not have to. With a favorable projection, take the under at moderate juice.

Rodgers Under 24.5 Completions (-105, Caesars)

Rodgers has had no qualms leaning on the Packers’ sturdy backfield arsenal in the past. He is averaging 21.57 completions per game and a 68.3% completion rate this season, and the NFL Player Props Tool gives the under on 24.5 completions a 67% expected win rate. With Rodgers projected for 22.62 against the Cardinals, the props tool gives a 31% return on investment on the under. The Cardinals defense is allowing 21.28 completions and has the third-best pass rush according to PFF. Allowing a 63.8% completion rate to opposing offenses, the Arizona secondary should have an easier time clamping down without Adams or Lazard to stretch the field. Take the under on Rodgers’ completions at minimal juice.

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Once a man of 12-team teaser parlays and an abundance of season-long fantasy leagues, Chris "TopherSquints" Giordani gradually honed his fascination for sports and plus-money wagers toward Daily Fantasy Sports. A homegrown Awesemo student from the early stages of the site's inception, he became infatuated with the contrarian DFS mindset and eventually combined his passion for writing with Daily Fantasy at the Sports Gambling Podcast's website blog. Currently, Chris Giordani resides in Orange County, California, enjoys binging on stand-up comedy, and long strolls through the DraftKings lobby.

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