Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys have encountered a consistency conundrum, with a bounce-back opportunity at stake against the New Orleans Saints on Thursday Night Football. With the new Awesemo OddsShopper, bettors can now search player props by team and immediately pinpoint the best available odds at recognized sportsbooks. Let us take a look at the tool’s projections and odds for Week 13 Thursday Night Football to lock in the best NFL prop bets on Prescott tonight.
Dak Prescott NFL Player Props Thursday Night Football
Over 23.5 Completions (-133, SugarHouse)
The road to rebounding for the Cowboys offense begins with Prescott’s passing prowess. He is averaging 26.1 completions of 37.6 pass attempts through 10 games, and the over on 23.5 completions has a 67% expected win rate and 17% expected return on investment. Prescott is projected for 24.43 completions by 35.5 pass attempts against the Saints, who rank 13th in pass DVOA and allow 22 completions per game at a 64.3% rate. The Cowboys rank fifth in PFF passing grade and fourth in completion rate (69%). Despite the gouging juice, grab the over on Prescott’s completion total.
Over 280.5 Yards Passing (-110, FanDuel)
A silver lining in last week’s overtime loss was the Cowboys ability to throw the ball, and Prescott projects within a hair of his passing prop, at 279.8 yards. Prescott is averaging 293.2 yards per game, and OddsShopper gives the over a 54% expected win rate and 3% expected return on investment. New Orleans has surrendered 266.45 yards passing per game and ranks 26th in PFF pass rush grade. Dallas’ offensive line is fifth in pass blocking, and their top-five passing offense will regain a primary piece in Amari Cooper. On a prop line that seems to be regressing toward the under, snag the over on Prescott’s yards at standard juice.
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Under 2.5 Touchdowns Passing (-208, Caesars)
The juice may be worth avoiding entirely, but for those trying to secure additional prop parlay action, OddsShopper leans under on a steep touchdown line against the Saints. Prescott is averaging 2.2 touchdowns per game, and the under has a 66% expected win rate and -3% expected return on investment due to elevated juice. Prescott is projected for 2.08 touchdowns against the Saints. The Saints are allowing 1.54 touchdowns passing per game and rank 11th in PFF coverage grade. Unless the juice deflates leading up until kickoff, this bet should only be included in prop parlays.
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