Michael Carter and the Jets surprised some folks with a win over the Bengals, while Jonathan Taylor and the Colts are looking for redemption on Thursday Night Football following their overtime loss to the Titans last Sunday. With the new Awesemo NFL Player Props Tool, bettors can now search player props by team and immediately pinpoint the best available odds at recognized sportsbooks. Let’s take a look at the tool’s projections and odds for Week 9 Thursday Night Football to lock in the best NFL prop bets on Carter and Taylor tonight.
Running Backs Week 9 Thursday Night NFL Player Props
Ty Johnson Over 12.5 Yards Rushing (-115, PointsBet)
While Carter was the offensive centerpiece for the Jets in last Sunday’s victory, the NFL Player Props Tool feels Ty Johnson has a prop too low on Thursday Night Football. Johnson is averaging 16.6 yards per game on 23.4% of the team share, and the props tool gives a staggering 85% expected win rate to the over. With Johnson projected for 25.76 yards against the Colts on Thursday night, this bet has a 59% return on investment.
The Colts have displayed a potent rush defense, with 83.75 yards rushing allowed per game. The Colts also rank first in run DVOA, while surrendering just 3.87 yards per carry to the running back position. Johnson has proven to be an effective change-of-pace back for the Jets, and despite the staunch Colts run defense, the prop is too low for a back getting roughly a quarter of the carries.
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Jonathan Taylor Over 2.5 Receptions (-115, Caesars)
Taylor is averaging 2.62 catches per game through eight games, and the props tool gives the over a 70% expected win rate. As Taylor is projected for 3.46 catches of 3.97 targets on Thursday night against the Jets, the over has a 30% return on investment. The Jets defense has been allowing 7.25 catches per game and an 81.7% catch rate to opposing running backs. Taylor accounts for 9.7% of Colts targets, accruing 12% of the team’s receptions for 21 receptions and 265 yards. Taylor has seen seven targets in the past two weeks, and at moderately low juice, the prop line is too low for his catch total against a Jets defense allowing 7.79 yards per target to the running back position.
Michael Carter Under 40.5 Yards Receiving (-105, PointsBet)
Carter is coming off a mammoth game against the Bengals and is averaging 32.28 yards per game through seven games, but the NFL Player Props Tool gives the under a 68% expected win rate. Carter projects for 36.6 yards receiving on 4.85 catches against the Colts, leading to a 36% return on investment. Although the Colts run defense has been firm, they rank 23rd in pass DVOA against running backs while allowing 33 yards per game to the position. They also rank 10th in receptions allowed to backs, with 32 receptions on 42 targets. At nearly even-money odds, take the under on Carter’s yards.
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