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Tom Brady Sunday Night Football Prop Bets: Expert Picks & Predictions for Week 4, Buccaneers vs. Patriots

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Tom Brady is headed back to Foxboro for the first time since joining the Buccaneers, setting up the revenge game of the ages. With the new Awesemo NFL Player Props Tool bettors can now search player props by team and immediately pinpoint the best available odds at recognized sportsbooks. Let’s look at the tool’s projections and odds for Week 4 Sunday Night Football to lock in the best NFL prop bets on Brady and his weaponry.

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Tom Brady Week 4 Sunday Night NFL Player Props

Brady Over 302.5 Yards Passing (-114, FanDuel)

Brady seeks vengeance on Sunday Night, and the NFL Player Props Tool anticipates he will produce. Brady projects for 307.1 yards passing, slightly over his line, and has a 56% expected win rate. However, the 4% return on investment shows how thin the margins are. Through three games Brady has thrown for 362.3 yards per game and a 109.3 quarterback rating. The Patriots are allowing the second-fewest yards passing per game, but they have not faced an opposing arsenal of this caliber. While the projection is toeing the line, Brady’s return to Gillette points to the over.

Brady Over 26.5 Completions (-110, Caesars)

Going hand in hand with the previous prop, the over on Brady’s line of 26.5 completions at -110 odds has a 60% expected win rate. He projects for 26.58 completions, with the over projecting for a 14% return on investment. This season Brady has 97 completions on 141 pass attempts spread to 12 different targets. The New England defense has allowed 59.3% completion thus far, surrendering 48 completions on 81 pass attempts.

Chris Godwin Over 68.5 Yards Receiving (-115, DraftKings)

With Rob Gronkowski now listed doubtful, the targets presume to be dispersed among Brady’s top weapons based on the tool’s projections. With Chris Godwin provided a player prop of 68.5 receiving yards, the NFL Player Props Tool gives him a 62% expected win rate on surpassing the over. As Godwin’s projected for 73.12 yards receiving on Sunday Night against the Patriots, the over aligns for a suggested 16% return on investment by the tool. With Godwin accounting for 19.3% of the Buccaneers’ total yards on offense, he remains the leading contributor to the Bucs’ success in moving the ball. Godwin’s averaging 80.3 receiving yards per game in three games this season. As Brady’s lead receiver by yardage, and now likely without Gronkowski, the over projects as a great play for Sunday Night.


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Once a man of 12-team teaser parlays and an abundance of season-long fantasy leagues, Chris "TopherSquints" Giordani gradually honed his fascination for sports and plus-money wagers toward Daily Fantasy Sports. A homegrown Awesemo student from the early stages of the site's inception, he became infatuated with the contrarian DFS mindset and eventually combined his passion for writing with Daily Fantasy at the Sports Gambling Podcast's website blog. Currently, Chris Giordani resides in Orange County, California, enjoys binging on stand-up comedy, and long strolls through the DraftKings lobby.

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