Justin Herbert is no longer a surprise to anyone, while his Chargers have caught some off guard with a 2-1 record. With the new Awesemo NFL Player Props Tool, bettors can now search player props by team and immediately pinpoint the best available odds at recognized sportsbooks. Let’s take a look at the tool’s projections and odds for Monday Night Football to lock in the best NFL prop bets on Herbert.
Justin Herbert Week 4 Monday Night NFL Player Props
Herbert Under 302.5 Yards Passing (-115, DraftKings)
Herbert has found success in the passing game, yet the NFL Player Props Tool suggests he will come up short of the lofty player prop, with a 56% expected win rate on under 302.5 yards passing. Herbert projects for 296.02 yards on Monday Night Football, and the under has a 4% expected ROI. He has thrown for 318.66 yards per game, but the Raiders secondary ranks 11th in pass DVOA and has allowed just 248.33 yards passing per game. With a 16-yard pad between projection and player prop, snag the under at modest house juice.
Herbert Under 27.5 Completions (-120, BetMGM)
The NFL Player Props Tool is not high on Herbert’s numbers tonight, giving the under on 27.5 completions a 71% chance to hit and a 30% suggested ROI. Herbert has 29.33 completions per game through three, but again, the Raiders defense has allowed just 26. As a result, Awesemo is projecting Herbert for just 25.32 completions tonight. Given the elevated prop line in a divisional grind, this bet points strongly to the under.
Herbert Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-250, FanDuel)
Herbert’s completions and passing yardage do not project to exceed their prop lines, but the NFL Player Props Tool is higher on his passing touchdowns, with a 67% expect win rate on the over. Projected for 2.21 passing touchdowns, Herbert has a -7% expected ROI, with the juice through the roof at -250 on such a low prop line. He is averaging two touchdowns passing per game this season and leads the NFL with 27 red-zone completions. The Raiders have allowed just two touchdowns passing in three games. With Herbert’s red zone success, siding with the props tool’s projection on a low total makes sense.
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