In his two decades with the New England Patriots, quarterback Tom Brady endured some of his most haunting losses against the New York Giants, specifically twice on the NFL’s grandest stage, where he was just a couple of plays away from adding two more Super Bowl championships to his resume already considered Greatest Of All Time. With an iota of vengeance in store, making NFL picks for Monday Night Football becomes just that much more entertaining.
In our latest installment of Monday Night Football, Brady will be aiming to land some uppercuts in redemption of those close losses (even if nowhere nearly on the same plain of gratification). We at OddsShoppers will look to capitalize on this lopsided outing between the Buccaneers and Giants, hoping to exploit weaknesses in the betting lines as we make NFL picks for Monday Night Football in Week 8.
* NFL Odds as of writing. Click HERE for up to date odds using the OddsShopper tool.
Ben Rasa's Bet of the DayAwesemo's sports betting expert Ben Rasa pours over the day's betting lines and breaks down the best bet of the day for you to build your sports betting card around.
NFL Picks + Odds Shopping: Monday Night Football Best Bets | Buccaneers vs. Giants
NFL Pick: TE Evan Engram, OVER 33.5 Receiving Yards (-115, PointsBet)
The Giants offense has not only had to endure the early season-ending injury to stud running back Saquon Barkley, but the interception-prone quarterbacking of Daniel Jones has been downright detrimental to their cause. For a Giants team where the most evident consistency is inconsistency, the bright spots are hard to come by. But when it comes to the effort of Jones attempting to right the ship from week to week, his focal reliance in tight end Evan Engram (when healthy) is one worthy of consideration heading into Monday Night Football against the Bucs.
Engram has not only been the second-most targeted member of the Giants offense all season, but the margin of difference between he and Darius Slayton to be Jones’ top target has been less than 2% (Slayton accounting for 21.8% of team targets), merely separated by one reception over the previous seven weeks. While the yardage between them is vastly different, this should be somewhat expected given the difference in route types run between Engram and Slayton (Slayton having been the primary deep out in Sterling Shepard‘s absence).
Yet, while the sample size is small, in the one most recent game with Shepard back in action, the target share shifted toward him, with Slayton garnering just 10% of Giants receptions in a crucial game against the Eagles. Engram’s workload remained unscathed, tying Shepard for highest percentage of team receptions at 30% and achieving the highest target share of the team at 32.1% (one pivotal drop by Engram late in the game would’ve not only made him top receiving member outright but the Giants likely would’ve won the game).
The Buccaneers defense has looked its best in a long time, with a secondary sewing up its holes from last season and shutting down receivers much more convincingly. Against opposing tight ends the Bucs have allowed 45.71 receiving yards per game on an average of 6.81 yards per target to the position. With Shepard chomping into Slayton’s workload, banking on a more consistent target in Engram makes for a slightly more comfortable play on an over of 33.5 receiving yards. The prop seems rather doable given Jones’ propensity to maintain contact with Engram regardless of the receivers intact on a per-game basis, and at moderate -115 juice, my money is on the more consistently targeted Engram to come through.
Get The Best NFL Odds In One Place
Odds shopping is the best way to make sure you’re getting bang for your betting dollars. Please enjoy our new FREE website that shows you what each sports betting odds are in real time. You can sign up, track your bets, get notifications when a line moves and see how much money you’re making over time. Check it out right HERE.
NFL Pick: RB Wayne Gallman, OVER 14.5 Receiving Yards (-115, PointsBet)
Despite the lacking attractive nature of this pick, the low yardage and increased number of targets since Devonta Freeman went down make Wayne Gallman‘s receiving prop of just 14.5 yards a very intriguing one at -115 juice. When considering the dump-off option to Gallman given the increased pressure Jones will likely see from the Bucs front seven, the safety net in place should be able to achieve the low over on receiving yards so long as the targets remain intact.
In the Giants loss to the Eagles last Thursday night, Gallman was in fact the third-most targeted member of the Giants offense outside of Engram and Shepard, hauling in all five targets for five receptions and 20 receiving yards. Albeit a lackluster number to be celebrating, it’s more so the volume of targets and receptions stowed unto Gallman’s workload that make this an interesting prop to tackle given the modest -115 house taxation if it cashes. Facing moments of desperation may fare in Gallman’s favor, most particularly against one of very few soft spots in this Bucs defense.
Tampa Bay has allowed 356 receiving yards to opposing running backs on 47 receptions and 59 targets, surrendering an average of 6.03 yards-per-target and 7.57 yards per reception. Offenses against the Bucs thus far all season have averaged nearly seven receptions to their running backs and proving there’s ever the slightest crease to expose in this Tampa defense. Although one must consider who the Bucs see in their division twice a year (i.e. Alvin Kamara), they’ve only played the Saints once so far and Kamara had just five receptions against them in Week 1, so it’s not as if he skewed any totals.
With only Dion Lewis available to potential thieve any targets from him, Gallman should have a firm grasp on the backfield role at all capacities, as the Giants have evidently distancing themselves from Lewis as the season progressed, even with as many injuries as they’ve endured at the running back position. A low-yardage number in tandem with increased targets of late make this receiving prop a very achievable one for Gallman.
Check out the AwesemoOdds home page for more sports betting content, including more picks and predictions.
DraftKings4 weeks ago
MLB DFS Projections for DraftKings, FanDuel, SuperDraft, Yahoo, and FantasyDraft
DraftKings1 month ago
MLB DFS Main Slate Ownership Projections
DraftKings2 hours ago
NFL DFS Projections: Projected Fantasy Points for DraftKings, FanDuel and Other Daily Fantasy Football Sites
DraftKings4 weeks ago
Awesemo’s MLB DFS Rankings