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NFL Odds Boosts To Watch | Week 6 Parlays | 10/18

Josh Walfish

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nfl picks

Odds boosts are exactly that: Promotions from sportsbooks where they move tin your favor on certain bets. Many of them are prop bets, hoping you’ll put a few dollars on someone to hit a home run or a certain team to score a certain number of goals and still win. Our job is to highlight some of those odds boosts and give you some NFL picks to bet on, assuming it’s smart to buy into what the sportsbooks are selling. We scour the internet trying to find the best odds boosts for you every day from every sport. Today, we discuss the boosted parlays from DraftKings for Sunday’s Week 6 NFL action.

The sportsbooks have been understandably apprehensive about releasing most of their player props for this weekend’s NFL action. Instead, there are a pair of three-team parlays from DraftKings that had their odds boosted that we’re going to delve into this week. Both bets consist of teams winning or losing straight up, so there’s no need to worry about the spread with these wagers. The first bet we’ll discuss are potential playoff teams trying to jockey for positioning while the second consists of the final three winless teams all staying winless through the weekend.


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NFL Picks: Week 6 Odds Boosts

Ravens, Steelers & Colts All Win (+190 DraftKings)

We’ll rank these teams by how likely they are to ruin the bet, starting with the safest choices. For the winners bet, Baltimore seems to be the safest option because of its matchup with Philadelphia. The Eagles’ 11 turnovers through five weeks are tied for the most in the NFL, and they rank last in the league with turnovers on 19 percent of their offensive drives. Baltimore has 10 takeaways, third most in the league, and is forcing turnovers on about 18.5 percent of its defensive possessions. That’s a bad matchup for a quarterback struggling for confidence like Carson Wentz, so I expect the Ravens to take care of business.

Close behind the Ravens in terms of safety is the Colts, who face Cincinnati on Sunday. Indianapolis had the top-ranked defense entering last week before Cleveland put up almost 400 yards of offense and 32 points on the Colts. Still, the Colts are among the best defenses in the NFL this season, and the Bengals struggled mightily in gaining 205 yards last week against a very good Baltimore defense. Indianapolis has scored at least 19 points in every game this season and even though the Colts have some offensive issues, Cincinnati’s defense shouldn’t be good enough to overcome its offensive woes.

Then there’s unbeaten Pittsburgh hosting the red-hot Browns in a rivalry game that takes on new meaning with both teams well-positioned in the AFC North. The Steelers are one of the best rush defenses in the league, which bodes well against one of the better rushing offenses in the NFL. However, Cleveland has the weapons to exploit Pittsburgh’s secondary in a manner none of the previous quarterbacks the Steelers have played could do. This bet really hinges on the health of Odell Beckham for Cleveland because if he is forced to miss this weekend’s game due to illness, it’ll put a big damper on Cleveland’s offense. Still, Ben Roethlisberger should have a field day against a struggling Browns secondary that ranks 30th in passing defense.


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Jets, Giants & Falcons All Lose (+400 DraftKings)

It was a toss-up between the Jets and Falcons to be more likely to lose, but I went with the Jets because it’s been a dumpster fire. The Jets are down Sam Darnold again this week, so Joe Flacco again takes the helm of an offense that has gained 300 yards on offense just once this season. The Jets have scored more than 17 points just once, and its once-vaunted defense has allowed 30 or more points in four straight games. Plus the Jets have to travel to Miami to face a confident Dolphins team that just went to San Francisco and thrashed the defending NFC champions. It feels like another demolition is going to occur in Miami.

The Falcons at least might gain a boost from a new coach after Dan Quinn was fired on Monday. The offense has taken a turn for the worse since the debacle against Dallas, and the defense is struggling to keep up. Atlanta faces Minnesota on the road this week, and the Vikings are starting to round into form over the past few weeks. Minnesota hung extremely tough with Seattle last week and has scored at least 30 points in three of its five games this season. Atlanta might have been able to throw the ball against the Vikings defense in the first two weeks, but after holding the Seahawks to just 190 passing yards last week, it’ll be a tough task for the Falcons.

This entire bet will likely hinge on the Giants, who have a very winnable game this week against Washington. New York’s offense showed a bit of life last week in Dallas, so returning home to face a struggling Washington squad is a great chance at a win. The one downside for the Giants is Washington’s blueprint to beating Philadelphia in Week 1 is an excellent one to beating New York as well. The Giants have allowed the seventh-most sacks in the league this year, and their nine turnovers are tied for the third most in the NFL. Those are some of Washington’s biggest defensive strengths and could lead to a second win for Washington.


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