Odds boosts are exactly that: Promotions from sportsbooks where they move tin your favor on certain bets. Many of them are prop bets, hoping you’ll put a few dollars on someone to hit a home run or a certain team to score a certain number of goals and still win. Our job is to highlight some of those odds boosts and give you some NFL picks to bet on, assuming it’s smart to buy into the NFL odds the sportsbooks are selling. We scour the internet trying to find the best odds boosts for you every day from every sport. At the moment, we take an early peek at Thursday Night Football between the New York Giants and the Philadelphia Eagles.
The NFC East is an interesting division this year, and I’ll let you decide if that’s a good or a bad thing. Everyone is within a game of the division lead, and everyone is also at least two games under .500 this season. Thursday’s contests features the Philadelphia Eagles hosting the New York Giants with a share of the division lead on the line. Most of the sportsbooks have not released their player-specific odds boosts for the game yet, but there are two game-centric ones that I want to discuss this week. Note both of them are proof of how bad both of these teams have been this year, so keep that in mind. As always, you can find these bets and so many others on OddsShooper, Awesemo’s odds-shopping tool.
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Week 7 Thursday Night Football NFL Picks: NFL Odds Boosts
NFL Pick: Game Has Fewer Than 4.5 Touchdowns (+120 DraftKings)
What’s interesting about this bet is that on its face it seems like a smart play. These are two bad teams with mediocre offenses playing each other, so there’s a decent chance they won’t score five combined touchdowns. The Giants have only scored eight all season, and three of those came against the pitiful Cowboys defense. New York hasn’t scored more than two touchdowns in any other game this season, and that was last week when the Giants squeaked past Washington. The Giants have also held half of their opponents to two touchdowns or fewer, so that bodes well against this streaky Philadelphia offense.
Indeed, the Eagles have scored 17 touchdowns this season, but seven of those were in the fourth quarter of games where Philadelphia was chasing points. Perhaps Philadelphia will stick to an aggressive play calling against the Giants, but that goes against what Doug Pederson has done in the first six games of the season. Instead, I expect this game to be close enough that Philadelphia will stay conservative and won’t be needing to score points in a hurry. If this game is as close as we all expect it to be, there will be no reason for the Eagles to get aggressive, and that will keep the point total low.
NFL Pick: Under 6.5 Points In First Quarter (+215 DraftKings)
The Giants had been shut out in the first quarter three times in their first four games. However, they’ve gotten off to fast starts the last two weeks against NFC East foes. The Eagles scored 10 points in the opening quarter of the season, but since then have scored just two touchdowns in the first quarter while getting shut out twice in five games. New York is still one of the worst offenses in the league and the Eagles have not looked great on offense until the last few minutes of last week’s game with the Ravens.
It’s certainly a risky play, but a short week and two sputtering offenses are enough for me to take a chance on this Thursday Night Football bet. The Giants’ defense is good enough to slow down the Eagles’ rushing attack, and I’m still not bought in on Carson Wentz‘s ball security. New York’s offense is enough of a mess that I don’t think it will worry Philadelphia in the first quarter, but Daniel Jones is still dangerous enough to win this game.
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