In the first matchup of Sunday’s Divisional Round games, the hot Cleveland Browns take on the Kansas City Chiefs. As expected, the Chiefs are the large home favorites to move onto the AFC Championship. The following Browns – Chiefs NFL betting preview for Divisional Round Sunday will find the best NFL odds, give you some betting trends and show the best NFL picks and NFL predictions available to make.
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NFL Betting Picks, Odds & Trends | Divisional Round Sunday
Browns vs. Chiefs Game Info
Cleveland Browns (12-5, 6-3 Away) at Kansas City Chiefs (14-2, 6-2 Home)
Date:Â Sunday, Jan. 17, 2020
Time:Â 3:05 p.m. EST
Venue: Arrowhead Stadium – Kansas City, Mo.
Coverage:Â CBS
The Browns enter Divisional Round Sunday hot, having won seven of their last nine games. It’s fair to ask whether or not the betting market has undervalued Cleveland’s offense during the latter stages of the season. For as ugly as the Browns’ adjusted metrics are on defense and special teams, they do have the ninth-best offensive efficiency rating on the season. Baker Mayfield has looked sharper than expected. Last week, he passed for 263 yards and three touchdowns. Of course, having a running back tandem like Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt will make any quarterback’s job that much easier. Cleveland will need to run the ball effectively and control the clock if they are to have any chance on Sunday.
The Browns’ shaky secondary figures to be a sitting duck on the other side of the ball. They have struggled in one-on-ones all season long, and the Chiefs have too many weapons to truly double anyone.
Kansas City may be laying 10 points in this game, but it’s worth noting the Chiefs haven’t covered a spread since early November. With that said, there are reasons galore why this spread is so large. Patrick Mahomes should have no trouble dissecting the Cleveland defense. The Browns have no one capable of covering the likes of Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill. Even with rookie running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire a nonparticipant at Thursday’s practice, there’s no reason to panic over the Chiefs backfield. That’s exactly why the team signed veteran Le’Veon Bell earlier this season. Defensively, expect coordinator Steve Spagnuolo to send a myriad of looks at Baker Mayfield. If Kansas City can hold up against the run, they’ll figure to have little trouble holding the Browns in check.
Browns vs. Chiefs NFL Betting Picks + Odds Shopping
Using Awesemo’s OddsShopper tool, we can easily compare the NFL betting odds for Browns – Chiefs betting across the major sports books. The odds expressed are from 11:30 p.m. EST on Jan. 16, so make sure to check out the OddsShopper tool yourself to get the most up-to-date odds.
NFL Odds: Moneyline
Browns: (+400) — William Hill
Chiefs: (-455) — SugarHouse, DraftKings
NFL Odds: Spread
Browns: +10 (-115) — William Hill
Chiefs: -9.5 (-110) — SugarHouse, BetMGM, DraftKings
NFL Odds: Point Total
Over: 57 (-109) — SugarHouse, DraftKings
Under: 57.5 (-110) — BetMGM
Browns vs. Chiefs Divisional Round Sunday NFL Betting Trends
- The Browns are 1-13-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 15 games against teams with an 80% or better winning percentage.
- The total has hit the over in five of the Browns’ last seven games.
- The Chiefs are 0-7-1 ATS in their last eight games.
- The total has hit the over in six of the last nine games between the Browns and Chiefs.
Browns vs. Chiefs Stats
- Cleveland is averaging 26.8 points per game (PPG) this season (No. 12 in the NFL).
- Cleveland is surrendering 26.8 PPG this season (No. 23 in the NFL).
- Kansas City is averaging 29.6 PPG this season (Tied for No. 4 in the NFL).
- Kansas City is surrendering 22.6 PPG this season (No. 10 in the NFL).
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