Odds boosts are exactly that: Promotions from sportsbooks where they move tin your favor on certain bets. Many of them are prop bets, hoping you’ll put a few dollars on someone to hit a home run or a certain team to score a certain number of goals and still win. Our job is to highlight some of those odds boosts and give you some NFL picks to bet on, assuming it’s smart to buy into what the sportsbooks are selling. We scour the internet trying to find the best odds boosts for you every day from every sport. Today, we discuss some of the player props on the market for Sunday’s Week 6 NFL action.
As we turn our attention to Week 6 kicking off on Sunday, the player-based odds boosts are starting to hit the sportsbooks. We’ll start with a pair of odds boosts for the marquee afternoon matchup between the Green Bay Packers and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. But we’ll also look at one for Sunday Night Football between the Los Angeles Rams and San Francisco 49ers and one from the AFC North showdown between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Cleveland Browns. As always, you can find these bets and others on OddsShopper, Awesemo’s odds-shopping tool to help you maximize your payout.
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NFL Picks: Week 6 Odds Boosts
Davante Adams & Mike Evans 147.5+ Combined Receiving Yards (+305 DraftKings)
The return of Adams this week only makes Aaron Rodgers and the Packers more dangerous on offense. Adams had 14 catches for 156 yards in the first game of the season then had three more for 36 yards in Week 2 before injuring himself. The off week has helped him rest, and he should be back to full strength this week, but it will be interesting to see how often Rodgers looks his way. Adams will still get his touches, but with so many other receivers emerging for Green Bay, it’s unlikely Adams will win this bet by himself this week. However, he may still eclipse 100 yards receiving, and PointsBet is offering +125 odds on him going over 100 yards receiving against Tampa Bay.
Evans is also banged up with an ankle injury, so we’ll have to see how effective he can be this week. He caught five passes last week against Chicago, and I expect he’ll be able to have a similar workload, if not more, against this Packers defense. Green Bay has shown itself susceptible against the pass when playing good quarterbacks this season, so Tom Brady should be able to get close to 300 yards this week. How many of those will come to Evans is a question, but Evans is still Brady’s top target and should easily fill in the yardage Adams doesn’t gain by himself this week.
Aaron Jones Rushing Touchdown (+100 PointsBet)
It’s understandable to be focusing on the quarterbacks and passing attacks in this game, but Jones has brought a needed balance to the Packers offense. He ranks fourth in the league with 93.5 yards per game, and he’s scored a rushing touchdown in three of Green Bay’s four games this season. He’s averaging roughly six yards per carry, and he’s been a key weapon in the red zone for Green Bay as both a rusher and a receiver.
Tampa Bay might be the best rushing defense in the NFL, but the Buccaneers have allowed four rushing touchdowns this season. Jones might not gain a lot of yards in this game, and I’d be skeptical about his total yardage on the ground. However, he’s a safe bet to get a carry or three inside the red zone and muscle his way into the end zone.
Cooper Kupp & Robert Woods 150+ Combined Receiving Yards (+100 PointsBet)
This is actually a riskier bet than most people would assume given how good Kupp and Woods have been this season. The two have combined for 150 receiving yards just once in five games this season despite earning more than half the targets and slightly less than half the yards from Jared Goff. However, we know that Kupp and Woods will get their chances to rack up yards in this game because they will see plenty of passes thrown their way.
What is going in their favor is this matchup with the injury-riddled 49ers defense that allowed almost 350 passing yards to the Dolphins last week. Ryan Fitzpatrick had three receivers with at least 50 yards in the game, and he was able to hit on some long passes as well to his favorite targets. This is the perfect chance for Goff and the Rams to push the field with Kupp and Woods, allowing them to gain large chunks of yards with each reception, as they both average 13 yards per catch this season.
Baker Mayfield & Ben Roethlisberger 5+ Combined Passing Touchdowns (+150 PointsBet)
Fortunately this bet has nothing to do with the mistakes these quarterbacks may make or the yards they accumulate. It’s strictly about throwing touchdown passes, two things these two have done quite well in recent weeks. Mayfield has thrown two touchdown passes in each of his last four games, and he faces a vulnerable Steelers secondary that has allowed two passing touchdowns in every game this season. Mayfield will have his full complement of weapons that will test Pittsburgh’s defense, assuming the offensive line can give Mayfield enough time to throw.
Roethlisberger has thrown 10 touchdowns in four games this season, and he’s facing an excellent matchup against Cleveland’s defense. The Browns rank 30th in passing yards allowed and have allowed the fourth-most passing touchdowns this season. Roethlisberger has picked apart far better secondaries than the one the Browns are presenting this week, and he’s coming off a three-touchdown performance last week. In what could be a high-scoring game, both of these quarterbacks should be just fine at hitting five combined passing touchdowns.