Odds boosts are exactly that: Promotions from sportsbooks where they move tin your favor on certain bets. Many of them are prop bets, hoping you’ll put a few dollars on someone to hit a home run or a certain team to score a certain number of goals and still win. Our job is to highlight some of those odds boosts and give you some NFL picks to bet on, assuming it’s smart to buy into what the sportsbooks are selling. We scour the internet trying to find the best odds boosts for you every day from every sport. Today, we take a look at the Week 4 slate in the NFL.
There are a lot of quarterback-centric odds boosts on the market for today’s action, and I’m going to highlight some of my favorites. These NFL picks span three different games and four different quarterbacks, so there’s plenty of chances for you to pick out the best games for you. All of these passers should be unleashing their arms a lot this week, so let’s let it rip with these NFL odds boosts. All of these wagers can be found on OddsShopper, Awesemo’s odds shopping tool to help you secure the best odds on your bets
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NFL Picks + Odds Boosts
Josh Allen Throws 2+ Touchdowns (-150 PointsBet)
After throwing for just two touchdowns in Week 1, Allen has thrown four touchdowns in consecutive weeks. Allen has done an excellent job at using a variety of weapons in the red zone, including his tight ends, receivers and running backs. Gabriel Davis has proven to be a nice target for Allen in tight situations, and the Bills have strong receiving tight ends with Dawson Knox and Tyler Kroft. Stefon Diggs provides the deep threat the Bills need, and Cole Beasley is the steady, reliable slot man who makes big plays for them as well.
Allen is facing a Raiders defense that has been more vulnerable on the ground after allowing six rushing touchdowns. However, the unit has allowed one passing touchdown in each game this season, so there will be chances for Allen if he stays patient and doesn’t force anything. He proved last week against the Rams that he could dissect defenses for touchdowns with precision passing, something that had been missing from his game. I expect he’ll be just as aggressive this week on the road against this Las Vegas secondary and challenge them to slow down the Bills offense.
Russell Wilson Throws 3+ Touchdowns (+140 PointsBet)
I’m glad this wager wasn’t about yards because that hasn’t been Wilson’s style this season. Wilson, though, has thrown an NFL-record 14 touchdowns through three weeks, which is all this bet cares about. Seattle’s running game has been nothing more than a balancing act, not something the Seahawks have used for scoring. Seattle’s points this season have been orchestrated by Wilson’s arm, and there’s no reason to believe that will stop this week.
New England didn’t try to throw the ball much against Miami in Week 1, but the Bills launched an aerial attack that the Dolphins couldn’t stop in Week 2. Perhaps the Dolphins feel more confident after Gardner Minshew threw for almost 300 yards but didn’t score last week. But the Wilson-led Seahawks’ offense resembles the Bills’ attack more than the Jaguars. Perhaps Miami will be able to get some pressure on Wilson, but Wilson’s mobility allows him to move the pocket and make plays, which is more similar to Allen than Minshew.
Baker Mayfield & Dak Prescott 600+ Passing Yards (+100 PointsBet)
Even with Ezekiel Elliott in the backfield, the Cowboys have needed to throw the ball a lot this season. Prescott has thrown for at least 450 yards in back-to-back weeks, and he’s had 39 or more attempts in every game this season. I don’t suspect it will slow down against the Browns, especially since Cleveland has proven far stiffer defending the run than it has the pass. I expect Prescott to utilize that to his advantage and come out firing in the first half to try and help Dallas build a lead as opposed to having to play from behind so often.
Mayfield is the other half of the equation, and I expect the Browns will need to throw the ball to stay competitive with Dallas. Mayfield has the weapons to put up a lot of yards on this vulnerable Dallas defense; it’s just a matter of him finding those receivers and hitting them with passes. Mayfield’s season high for passing yards this season is 219, which won’t be enough for Cleveland to win. I expect Kevin Stefanski will open up the playbook a bit and let Mayfield show off his arm in Dallas, so he’ll rack up more than 250 passing yards.
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