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Best NFL Picks & Parlays for AFC Wild Card Playoff Games Saturday | 1/15/21

Henry John

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The NFL Playoffs begin on Saturday with a doubleheader. Two AFC Wild Card matchups are on tap with the 5-seed Las Vegas Raiders and 4-seed Cincinnati Bengals getting the party started in the afternoon. Then, the 6-seed New England Patriots will collide with the No. 3 seed and rival Buffalo Bills in primetime. For bettors, Saturday’s Wild Card doubleheader presents numerous opportunities to fire on NFL player props.

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While placing prop bets individually is a fun and common practice, those looking to up the ante might consider stringing multiple predictions together to form an NFL player props parlay. Although the chances of cashing a parlay are less than for a straight prop wager, strategically selecting NFL parlay picks can lead to some very rewarding payouts. Make sure to include the revamped OddsShopper Tool as part of your handicapping and bet selection process. The tool will help point you in the direction of the best NFL props and betting picks as well as the best odds and value available in the market.

Let’s put OddsShopper to the test and take a look at some of the best NFL player props and parlay picks for Saturday’s AFC Wild Card doubleheader.

NFL Betting Parlay Picks | Saturday Wild Card Games

With OddsShopper, finding the best NFL betting player props is fast and simple. All users have to do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself with the featured NFL parlay picks below! In addition, readers are encouraged to explore Awesemo’s brand new Parlay Builder Tool. This resource will work in tandem with OddsShopper projections to generate amazing NFL Playoffs parlay picks for you at the click of button!

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Joe Mixon Over 74.5 Yards Rushing (-114, FanDuel)

Joe Mixon had three 100-yard games this season. One of those came in a 123-yard outburst against the same Raiders defense he will face on Saturday afternoon. Despite that performance, Mixon’s NFL player props yardage total sits at 74.5. This is largely due to a rough close to the regular season. In fact, the NFL betting line is higher than Mixon’s rushing numbers in each of his last five games played.

With that being said, Mixon should be well-rested for this AFC Wild Card Game after being among the Bengals players who sat out a meaningless Week 18 finale. In addition, the season-ending injury suffered by Raiders defensive tackle Darius Philon last week figures to aid Mixon’s cause on the ground.

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Awesemo’s projections for Mixon in Saturday’s NFL Playoffs game are nowhere close to the prop line. A projection of 99.34 yards rushing results in a 69% expected win probability for the over. In addition, OddsShopper shows that the betting market agrees. The majority of sportsbooks list Mixon’s rushing prop one full yard higher at 75.5. Some shops have the over/under line even higher than that. At -114 odds, Awesemo gives this prediction a 30% ROI.


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Mac Jones Over 17.5 Completions (-114, FanDuel)

Mac Jones had arguably his worst performance of the entire season in the second game against the Buffalo Bills. He still came within four completions of going over this NFL player props line despite connecting on just 14 of 32 pass attempts.

It is worth pointing out that throwing the ball against the Bills’ defense is not easy. Buffalo finished the season with the top-ranked pass defense in terms of adjusted efficiency. Of course, Jones only really got to try his hand at beating them once seeing how Bill Belichick decided to only attempt three total passes in the first head-to-head meeting. Knowing that the Bills will be hyper-focused on stopping the run come Saturday’s Wild Card matchup, expect the Patriots to put Jones in a position to succeed. Even if his passing yardage is not very high, Jones should have the opportunity to make several simply reads and bolster his completion total.

Currently, OddsShopper shows that the majority of sportsbooks list this prop total at 18.5. Thus, bettors should target the lower line of 17.5 total Jones completions for optimal value. As a standalone prop bet, Awesemo’s projections deem this over prediction to have an expected ROI of 19%.

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Jakobi Meyers Over 45.5 Yards Receiving (-110, FanDuel)

The truth of the matter is that, even going back to last season with Cam Newton under center, Jakobi Meyers has had a knack for being busy each time New England plays against Buffalo. While he was not targeted in the first regular-season matchup between the teams this year, keep in mind that Jones only attempted four total passes in that game.

For as sloppy as Jones and New England played in the second meeting, Meyers still managed to haul in six of eight targets for 59 yards. He saw no fewer than eight targets in each of the final four games to close the regular season. A similar target share on Saturday bodes well for his chances to clear the NFL player props total of 45.5 yards receiving. Meyers’ role in the passing game as a safe target on short and intermediate routes figures to ensure he is involved on Saturday night.

OddsShopper actually shows the majority of NFL betting sportsbooks list his receiving prop one full yard higher at 46.5. Awesemo officially projects him for 51.64 yards and gives this over prediction a small expected ROI as an individual wager at optimal -110 odds.


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Shopping for the Best NFL Parlay Odds

Once again, the importance of shopping the betting odds at various sportsbooks cannot be overstated. Even when constructing NFL parlay picks, bettors are wise to obtain the most favorable prices they can to lock in the greatest potential payout possible. Below is a breakdown of how the three NFL player props selections above would look in a parlay at several major sportsbooks.

FanDuel

Joe Mixon Over 74.5 Yards Rushing (-113)
Mac Jones Over 17.5 Completions (-114)
Jakobi Meyers Over 45.5 Yards Receiving (-110)
Total Parlay Odds: +575

Caesars

Joe Mixon Over 76.5 Yards Rushing (-115)
Mac Jones Over 18.5 Completions (-115)
Jakobi Meyers Over 46.5 Yards Receiving (-105)
Total Parlay Odds: +585

DraftKings

Joe Mixon Over 76.5 Yards Rushing (-115)
Mac Jones Over 18.5 Completions (-120)
Jakobi Meyers Over 46.5 Yards Receiving (-110)
Total Parlay Odds: +554

BetMGM

Joe Mixon Over 76.5 Yards Rushing (-111)
Mac Jones Over 18.5 Completions (-125)
Jakobi Meyers Over 46.5 Yards Receiving (-115)
Total Parlay Odds: +540

As seen in the breakdown above, while some sportsbooks may offer slightly better payout odds on this parlay, bettors might be effectively sacrificing one completion and/or multiple yards in order to net this extra profit. When it comes to shopping the odds, always target the best NFL player props line first before worrying about the accompanying prices.

Note that these lines and odds are bound to change between now and the start of Saturday’s AFC Wild Card games. Be sure to check in with OddsShopper for the latest updates before placing your NFL betting parlay picks.


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