The last game in the Wild Card Weekend takes place tonight when the Arizona Cardinals face the Los Angeles Rams for the third time this season. That makes it a perfect opportunity to use OddsShopper to build some NFL Parlay Picks today. Using this fantastic site can help place smart wagers in an easy-to-use fashion and maximize the ROI on the wagers. It is truly betting made simple since you can find the best NFL betting picks in 30 seconds or less.
Today’s picks will focus on BetMGM, which is now LIVE in New York state! In New York? Don’t forget to check out Alex Baker’s article on how to MAXIMIZE your sportsbook bonus.
Cardinals vs. Rams Same-Game NFL Parlay | BetMGM
The first step is finding which sport you are going to wager on, so the banner at the top of the screen has the sports separated. Once you are on the NFL page, it is super simple to customize what you are looking for as far as teams and players on the left-hand side of the page.
Now, if you miss one of the odds highlighted in the article because it changed, do not worry. The lines do not always stay the same as they are updated every two minutes. There will be examples of when you can still wager based on the Awesemo projections. It is also easy to sort the props by what style you want to bet them, meaning that you can choose the highest ROI or the highest expected win rate.
Generally, the best approach is a mix of the highest ROI and expected win rate, and this process should take under 30 seconds to filter what you are looking for. The highlighted wagers in the article can also be bet individually, so if the parlay misses by one leg, it is not a total loss. Let’s find out what the best-projected bets are for Sunday and build some NFL parlay picks.
Also be sure to check out OddsShopper’s matchups page, breaking down all the data for each game on a given slate.
Matthew Stafford Over 274.5 Yards Passing
Matthew Stafford Over 23.5 Completions
OddsShopper and the Awesemo projections love Matthew Stafford tonight and the parlay kicks off with a double dip on his lines tonight. On the season, Stafford had some inconsistency coming down the stretch, but he still finished third in passing yards (4,886 and 287.4 per game), third in yards per attempt (8.1), eighth in attempts, and 12th in true completion rate. Stafford was also ninth in deep attempts and the line is set 15 yards below the season average, which is almost as notable as the projected 307.4 passing yards and 25.5 completions.
As far as the matchup goes, the Cardinals are not the most fearsome matchup. They did finish fifth in DVOA against the pass this season, but they also were 16th in completion rate allowed at 65.4% and 13th in yards per attempt allowed at 6.5. Stafford and the Rams offense is going to be a tough test for them, and Stafford has an expected win rate of 62% or above on both of these wagers.
Cooper Kupp Over 107.5 Yards Receiving
Throughout most of this season, it has felt a little uncomfortable betting on a receiver to gain over 107 yards receiving, but Cooper Kupp‘s season was one of the most productive the NFL has ever seen from the position. Among receivers this year, Kupp was first in target share (31.7%), targets (11.2 per game), receptions (8.5 per game), yards (114.5 per game), and yards run per route at 3.33. He was borderline unstoppable, and he hit the over at this threshold 11 times this year. Kupp is running 52.4% of his routes from the slot and that will line him up against Arizona cornerback Byron Murphy for the majority of the game. Murphy was targeted 75 times this year and allowed 12.3 yards per reception and a 62.7% catch rate, so the matchup does not appear to be scary enough to shy away. OddsShopper has Kupp at an expected win rate of 61% and projected him for 115 yards receiving tonight.
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Kyler Murray Over 256.5 Yards Passing
The final leg is Kyler Murray and the total return is +1076 according to the Awesemo Parlay Calculator, along with an expected win rate of 59% from OddsShopper. Murray has a big opportunity to hurt the Rams defense on downfield attempts because Los Angeles is missing both of their starting safeties for this game. That is a big loss for any team at this point in the season, but it could hurt even worse against Murray, who was ninth in air yards this year and averaged 162.6 per game. Murray finishing in the top 10 in air yards was impressive since he only played 14 games and he was fourth in yards per attempt in those games. The season-long data was strong for the Rams from one aspect as they finished sixth in DVOA against the pass. They also finished 25th in completion rate allowed at 65.6% and 15th in yards per attempt allowed. That is only going to be exacerbated without two starting safeties and if Stafford and Kupp are hitting the over for these wagers, Murray should be forced to hit his.
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