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Optimal Same-Game NFL Parlay Picks for Sunday Night Football | Broncos vs. Chiefs

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Week 7 NFL DFS showdown picks DraftKings FanDuel daily fantasy football Thursday Night Football Broncos vs. Browns today tonight lineup optimizer optimal free expert rankings projections ownership Courtland Sutton Odell Beckham Jr. lines odds predictions best bets player props

The Denver Broncos renew their AFC West rivalry tonight against the Kansas City Chiefs in Arrowhead on Sunday Night Football, which is a perfect opportunity to use OddsShopper to build some NFL Parlay Picks. Using this fantastic site can help place smart wagers in an easy-to-use fashion and maximize the ROI on the wagers. It is truly betting made simple since you can find the best bet in 30 seconds or less.

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Broncos vs. Chiefs Same-Game NFL Parlay Picks

The first step is finding which sport you are going to wager on, so the banner at the top of the screen has the sports separated. Once you are on the NFL page, it is super simple to customize what you are looking for as far as teams and players on the left-hand side of the page.

Now, if you miss one of the odds highlighted in the article because it changed, do not worry. The lines do not always stay the same as they are updated every two minutes. There will be examples of when you can still wager based on the Awesemo projections. It is also easy to sort the props by what style you want to bet them, meaning that you can choose the highest ROI or the highest expected win rate.

Generally, the best approach is a mix of the highest ROI and expected win rate, and this whole process should take under 30 seconds to filter what you are looking for. The highlighted wagers in the article can also be bet individually, so if the parlay misses by one leg, it is not a total loss. Let’s find out what the best-projected bets are for Sunday Night Football and build some NFL parlay picks.

Tyreek Hill Over 75.5 Receiving Yards 

Some sportsbooks have this line up to 80.5 but OddsShopper has Tyreek Hill projected for 87.3 yards and an expected win rate of 62% at this current line. Hill is fifth in receiving yards (932), 13th in yards run per route (2.46), and first in air yards (1,325) on the season. Despite having Patrick Mahomes as his quarterback, Hill is also first in unrealized air yards (712) on the season and that speaks to his upside every single week. Hill is targeted deep 1.8 times per game and it only takes one or two splash plays to take a chunk out of this total. The Chiefs also move Hill in the formation frequently and his slot snap rate is 38.5%, 17th in football. That just makes it harder to try and shadow him with any one particular cornerback. 

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Over 46.5 Points 

Both the Awesemo NFL Betting Tool and OddsShopper agree that the over is the play here, with OddsShopper going a 69% expected win rate. The Broncos and Chiefs both average over 20 points per game on offense so far with Kansas City ranking ninth in the NFL at 25.5 points. The Chiefs defense does deserve credit for playing a lot better in this recent stretch but both defenses are 25th and 26th in total DVOA on the season. Denver’s defense has kept teams off the scoreboard this year at 17.8 points per game, which is third. When Kansas City is right, their offense can put up a big score on anyone and everyone agrees offensive fireworks should be expected. 

Courtland Sutton Over 40.5 Receiving Yards 

This wager caps the same game parlay and the Awesemo Parlay Calculator shows that this parlay should be around a +540 return if all three legs were to hit. With the Broncos coming into the game as eight-point underdogs, it would stand to reason that the script will demand they pass more than normal (21st in attempts per game). Courtland Sutton is 26th in receiving yards this year (634) and that’s 57.6 yards per game. While it has been a slow stretch for Sutton, those recent games have no bearing on tonight and Sutton is also 10th in air yards (1,069 yards) and seventh in unrealized air yards (543 yards). Chiefs corner Rashad Fenton should draw the bulk of the coverage on Sutton and he’s allowed a 64.3% completion rate on the season.

 

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