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Same-Game Parlay Picks for NFL Wild Card Saturday Playoffs | Eagles vs. Buccaneers

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The Eagles take on the Buccaneers in Wild Card action on Sunday afternoon. It is a great opportunity to use OddsShopper to build some NFL Parlay Picks today. Using this fantastic site can help place smart wagers in an easy-to-use fashion and maximize the ROI on the wagers. It is truly betting made simple since you can find the best NFL betting picks in 30 seconds or less.

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Also be sure to check out OddsShopper’s matchups page, breaking down all the data for each game on a given slate.

Best Eagles vs. Buccaneers Same Game NFL Parlay

The first step is finding which sport you are going to wager on, so the banner at the top of the screen has the sports separated. Once you are on the NFL page, you can filter by any matchup you want to find bets specifically for that game.

Now, if you miss one of the odds highlighted in the article because it changed, do not worry. The lines do not always stay the same as they are updated every two minutes. There will be examples of when you can still wager based on the Awesemo projections. It is also easy to sort the props by what style you want to bet them, meaning that you can choose the highest ROI or the highest expected win rate.

Generally, the best approach is a mix of the highest ROI and expected win rate, and this process should take under 30 seconds to filter what you are looking for. The highlighted wagers in the article can also be bet individually, so if the parlay misses by one leg, it is not a total loss. Let us find out what the best-projected bets are for Sunday and build some NFL parlay picks.

Also be sure to check out OddsShopper’s matchups page, breaking down all the data for each game on a given slate.

Tom Brady Over 268.5 Yards Passing

FanDuel will be the host of this parlay, thanks to them offering the best odds on the top pick of the game in OddsShopper. Brady’s passing prop has a 68% chance of winning, good for a 29% ROI. That is the highest ROI of any bet this week. This one stands out given how low it is relative to Brady’s usual production. Brady went over that mark in 11 of 17 games, including his first matchup of the season with Philadelphia. He threw for 297 yards in that one and is averaging over 300 a game on the season.

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Philadelphia features the league’s 25th-ranked passing defense while performing moderately better (19th) against the run. Tampa Bay already throws the ball at one of the highest rates in the league, but the matchup should shift them even further in that direction. While the Buccaneers are limited at wide receiver without Chris Godwin and Antonio Brown, Brady has gone over 269 yards passing in every game that Mike Evans has been healthy for since the start of December. Evans should be a full-go this week, making this prop a good start to the parlay.


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DeVonta Smith Over 42.5 Yards Receiving

This pick is a solid bet in its own right. OddsShopper has Smith with a mean projection of over 60 yards receiving and a 67% chance of going over the 42.5-yard prop offered by SugarHouse. FanDuel is offering a slightly worse 43.5-yard prop but better odds (-110), so the expected ROI of 27% is very comparable. Smith has gone over this number in just over half of the Eagles games (nine of 17), but this is a better situation than most. No team faces a higher opponent passing rate than Tampa Bay. The Eagles are also 8.5-point underdogs, which could lead to a higher-than-usual passing rate.

The real appeal is the correlation with the Brady prop, though. If Brady is having a big game, it is likely that Tampa is putting up points. That would force the Eagles to throw the ball more in response, increasing the likelihood of Smith going over on his prop. When betting (same game) parlays, it is important to make selections that complement each other. It is fortunate that the top two OddsShopper player props from this game do just that.

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Over 45.5 Points

The over stands on its own as a solid bet here. These teams combined for 50 points in their first meeting, making the 45.5 mark on the conservative side. OddsShopper is giving this bet a 67% chance to win, good for an expected ROI of 14% on its own. Of course, this bet really stands out for its correlation with the previous picks. If both Smith and Brady are going over their respective yardage props, the odds of a high-scoring game are considerably better.

One drawback of correlating parlays like this is the pricing, though. Sportsbooks also understand the connection between legs of a parlay. This one is priced at +438 for all three legs. Swapping in the (negatively correlated) under, the odds jump to +809. Anyone looking for better odds — while maintaining positive correlation — could consider adding in more over bets. In particular, bets on Tampa receivers’ overs fit nicely with the over. Both Leonard Fournette and Rob Gronkowski have positive expected ROIs for their receiving overs, and adding both brings the odds on the parlay to +1350.


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