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NFL Underdog Parlay Picks Today: Trevor Lawrence Player Props & Betting Picks That PAY OFF BIG




NFL Daily Fantasy Strategy Show. Awesemo's FREE Week 11 Matchups breakdown for NFL DFS slates on DraftKings and FanDuel | Today 11/18

It’s another NFL Sunday and this one features 11 games in the main slate, which is a perfect opportunity to use Awesemo OddsShopper to build some of the best NFL parlay picks today. Using this fantastic site can help place smart wagers in an easy-to-use fashion and maximize the ROI on the wagers. It is truly betting made simple since you can find the best bet in 30 seconds or less. 

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NFL Underdog Parlay Picks Today: Best Player Props & Betting Picks

The first step is finding the brand new Parlay Builder for OddsShopper. It is located on the top banner and is just one click away. This tool is a game-changer because the Awesemo data scientists have built the parlay already. The user has the choice of what type of parlay they prefer to chase, and the state is customizable along with the sportsbook. Though it’s rare, underdogs eventually have their day, and when they do, the payouts are oh so nice. Here are our best bets for underdogs if you like to fade the favs and cheer for the upset at high odds. As a reminder, betting the props individually is always a smart way to build your bankroll. An underdog parlay is not exactly the most stable return if it is always being bet just as a parlay. Let us find out what the best-projected bets are for Sunday and build some NFL parlay picks.

Trevor Lawrence Under 19.5 Completions

It may not be the most popular viewpoint, but Trevor Lawrence hasn’t played well this season and it’s not all related to the Jacksonville Jaguars coaching. Of course, it plays a part but Lawrence is 36th in yards per attempt (5.9), 21st in passing yards (2,514), 35th in true completion rate (62.8%), and 31st in catchable pass rate (70.9%). He’s only completing 58% of his passes this season and while the Tennessee Titans are 19th in DVOA against the pass, they are ninth in completion rate allowed (63.2%). It’s not hard to see Lawrence falling short of 20 completions and OddsShopper has an expected win rate of 68%. 

Mark Andrews Under 4.5 Receptions

The tight end for the Baltimore Ravens is one of the elite at his position once again this season, ranking second in receptions and receiving yards. Mark Andrews has been excellent but he still only averages 5.3 receptions per game. His 24.4% target share is also second but Baltimore is just 15th in pass attempts per game this season. The target share is still a piece of a mediocre pie and he’s not racking up a ton of receptions per game. The Cleveland Browns are 21st in DVOA against the pass but they gave the Ravens passing game fits two weeks ago when they played each other. OddsShopper gives Andrews an expected win rate of 74% and the ROI is one of the highest in the parlay at +120. 

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Kalif Raymond Under 2.5 Receptions 

The Detroit Lions have to travel into Denver to face the Broncos this week and the Lions will not have their offense at full strength. OddsShopper has the under at an expected win rate of 81%, the highest in the parlay. Over the past three weeks, Kalif Raymond has seen just a total of seven targets and that has coincided with Josh Reynolds being a new member of the Lions. He was signed as a free agent and Raymond has gotten shuffled back in the receiver rotation, down to 63.9% of the snaps. The target share has translated to just 8.1% so even with the offense being thin, Raymond has been mostly invisible. Denver ranks 16th in DVOA against the pass and the Lions offense is not scary at all, ranking just 16th in passing attempts per game. 

Michael Gallup Under 3.5 Receptions 

With an expected win rate of 74% for OddsShopper, the under for Michael Gallup emerges as a strong addition to the underdog parlay. The Dallas Cowboys visit the Washington Football Team this week and they get to attack the 30th ranked DVOA against the pass and the pass defense that has given up the sixth-most yards. Gallup has only played five games all year and has a 17.8% target share, but some of that was driven up by games without CeeDee Lamb and/or Amari CooperAll three are active this week and injury-free so Gallup will not be the focal point of the passing game. Dallas also has Dalton Schultz at tight end to get his share of work (15.6% target share) and Gallup is far from a guarantee to catch four or more passes. All of that adds up to a leg of the NFL parlay that can bring big returns. 

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Dawson Knox Under 3.5 Receptions

The Buffalo Bills bring their crowded passing game into Tampa Bay this week to face the Buccaneers and that is the keyword – crowded. Dawson Knox only has a 13.7% target share on the season and that is 18th among tight ends and he averages just 3.3 receptions per game. This offense may not be able to run for much success against the Buccaneers as they rank ninth in DVOA against the run and have allowed the fewest rushing yards to running backs in football. While that likely means Buffalo throws a lot (they already rank ninth in attempts per game), Knox has to get in line for targets behind Stefon Diggs, Cole Beasleyand Emmanuel SandersThe under is not far-fetched and OddsShopper has an expected win rate of 71%. 

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